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NFL

Jackson Hawes

BUF

Value call

Jackson Hawes has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
6 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 6.4% · before adjusting for past results 13.5% · the book's price implies 7.7% · gap -1.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Jackson Hawes
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1200 (13.00) · $100→$1,300
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 6 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$130.00 Odds+1200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jackson Hawes is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 6 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 6%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 10:43AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD13.5%6.4%7.7%13.00+5.8%

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AI Analysis

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Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens: Jackson Hawes Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1100)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Buffalo Bills have a strong passing game, getting more success through the air than on the ground. Their quarterback faced extra rushers a lot last season, but that hasn't stopped them from throwing effectively. Meanwhile, the Baltimore Ravens have struggled on grass, winning only a bit more than a third of their games there. This matchup could favor the Bills, especially if Jackson Hawes gets space to make plays. Betting on Jackson Hawes to score a touchdown is a good choice because of how well Buffalo throws the ball. Since the odds are high, he's seen as an outsider, but he has a real chance to break through. The main risk is how competitive both teams are, as they each have strong defenses that can make scoring tricky.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD24 lines trackedNo line posted
13%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked24

Jackson Hawes's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 24 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 13%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jackson Hawes (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jackson Hawes is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.8% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills on Sunday 1 November at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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