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NFL

Jayden Daniels

WAS

Value call

Jayden Daniels has one live pick today: over 179.5 passing yards that pays $138 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
86 in 100
Predicted
218.2 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 85.9% · before adjusting for past results 90.6% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +13.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco · Indoor
Mon 19 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Jayden Daniels
over 179.5 passing yards
Passing Yards (Alt) Over 179.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
Value call
HIGHWins about 86 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.80 Odds-263
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jayden Daniels is Over 179.5 on Passing Yards (Alt).
On Passing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 86 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 86%, the price says 72%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:25PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$20,973 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Daniels completed 29 of 40 passes for 300 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions while adding four rushes for 10 yards in the Commanders' 23-17 loss to the 49ers on Monday night.
updated Oct 20, 4:00AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards (Alt)90.6%85.9%72.5%1.38+18.1%

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AI Analysis

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San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders: Jayden Daniels Over 179.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (-263)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jayden Daniels has a solid chance to throw for over 179.5 passing yards in this game. The San Francisco 49ers have struggled against tight ends, allowing quite a few touchdowns last season. This could open up opportunities for Daniels to get his team moving through the air. While the 49ers are known for their defense, they've also faced extra pressure on their quarterback a fair bit this season. That might help Daniels find some good plays. The risk here is that the Commanders have also struggled with scoring, so if they can't keep up, it could limit his chances. Still, our numbers see this as a pretty strong pick.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Jayden Daniels's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Passing Yards95 lines trackedNo line posted
124.5typical line · passing yds
line range124.5–249.5model over99%tips tracked95

Jayden Daniels's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 95 times, typically around a 124.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards56 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–39.5model over97%tips tracked56

Jayden Daniels's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 56 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Jayden Daniels average?How many rushing yards does Jayden Daniels average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Passing Yards (Alt) 179.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Passing Yards (Alt) 169.5 Over -370 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5 Over -476 ✓ HIT
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
19 Oct 26 Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jayden Daniels (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jayden Daniels is Over 179.5 on Passing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.1% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers on Monday 19 October at San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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