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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ladd McConkey is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 37%, for a model edge of +13.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:05PM UTC
NFL

Ladd McConkey

LAC

+13.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +170 (2.70)
+13.2% Edge
Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles · Indoor
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
McConkey said Tuesday that he's tending to a left hamstring strain, Alex Insdorf of BoltBeat.com reports.
updated Jun 16, 9:33PM UTC · 34d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
37.0%
Model Edge
+13.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—37.0%1.99+13.2%

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AI Analysis

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Ladd McConkey (LAC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+170)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

This bet is based on the premise that Ladd McConkey will score a touchdown at any time during the game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Minnesota Vikings. However, the statistical data does not support this bet. McConkey has not scored a touchdown in his last five games overall or at home. His overall hit rate recently has not been impressive either, with only one touchdown in his last ten games, and only three in his last 20 games. His home performance has been marginally better, but still not convincing, with two scores in the last ten home games. His overall and home current hit streaks stand at zero. The model edge of 0.131624470850316 indicates a small advantage, but the historical and recent performance data suggest that betting on McConkey to score a touchdown is a high-risk proposition.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD4 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked4

Ladd McConkey's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 4 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Ladd McConkey (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ladd McConkey is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.2% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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