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NFL

Ladd McConkey

LAC

Value call

Ladd McConkey has one live pick today: over 24.5 receiving yards that pays $127 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
86 in 100
Predicted
52.1 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 86.4% · before adjusting for past results 91.1% · the book's price implies 78.7% · gap +7.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Ladd McConkey
over 24.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 24.5 -370 (1.27) · $100→$127
Value call
HIGHWins about 86 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.70 Odds-370
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ladd McConkey is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 86 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 86%, the price says 79%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:42AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
QUESTIONABLE
Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh said McConkey (foot) will practice Wednesday, Alex Insdorf of BoltBeat.com reports.
updated Oct 14, 7:11PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)91.1%86.4%78.7%1.27+12.3%

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AI Analysis

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Ladd McConkey (LAC) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate (-370)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Seattle Seahawks play Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ladd McConkey (LAC) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -370 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
37%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9

Ladd McConkey's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 37%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards159 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–69.5model over99%tips tracked159

Ladd McConkey's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 159 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions79 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receptions
line range2.5–6.5model over55%tips tracked79

Ladd McConkey's NFL receptions prop has been priced 79 times, typically around a 4.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Ladd McConkey average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) 59.5 Over +134 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5 Over -172 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards 54.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ladd McConkey (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ladd McConkey is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.3% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks on Sunday 4 October at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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