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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ladd McConkey is Over 54.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 7:07PM UTC
NFL

Ladd McConkey

LAC

Value call

Ladd McConkey has one live pick today: Receiving Yards Over 54.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Over 54.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 8:25PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 349 of 542 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
McConkey (ribs) secured all three targets for 35 yards in the Chargers' 26-14 loss to the Raiders on Sunday.
updated Sep 21, 12:36AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 73.0% · before adjusting for past results 73.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +19.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards73.0%73.0%53.2%1.37+19.8%

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Chargers vs Arizona Cardinals: Ladd McConkey Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ladd McConkey has been playing really well lately, showing he can be a key player for the Chargers. The Cardinals' defense has struggled against receiving threats, which gives McConkey a solid shot to rack up some yards. With the Chargers at home and their offense looking strong, it's a great setup for him to shine. While our numbers suggest a good chance for him to go over 54.5 receiving yards, it's worth noting that the Cardinals can still put up a fight on defense. If they manage to tighten up their coverage, it could limit his opportunities. But overall, this matchup looks promising for McConkey to hit that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
47%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

Ladd McConkey's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 47%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards134 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–69.5model over99%tips tracked134

Ladd McConkey's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 134 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions79 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receptions
line range2.5–6.5model over55%tips tracked79

Ladd McConkey's NFL receptions prop has been priced 79 times, typically around a 4.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards 54.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) 59.5 Over +121 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers Receptions 4.5 Over -102 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ladd McConkey (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ladd McConkey is Over 54.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 13 September at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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