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NFL

Jake Ferguson

DAL

+18.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +280 (3.80)
+18.4% Edge
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas
Model Probability
44.7%
Implied Probability
26.3%
Model Edge
+18.4%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Jake Ferguson (DAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+280)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Jake Ferguson to score a touchdown at any time during the Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants game requires careful consideration of his recent and overall performance. Ferguson has not scored a touchdown in his last three games, and his overall hit rate is 5/33, which suggests a relatively low scoring rate. His performance is equally unremarkable at home games, with a hit rate of 4/16. However, the data also shows that Ferguson has performed slightly better against the New York Giants, scoring 1/3 times in the last three meetings, and 1/1 times at home. Despite these stats, his recent performance and overall hit rate might raise caution. The model edge of 0.1838 represents a positive expectation, but considering Ferguson's past performance, it suggests that this bet carries a considerable amount of risk.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jake Ferguson (DAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Ferguson is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.