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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Quentin Johnston is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 50%, implied 37%, edge +13.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:20PM UTC
NFL

Quentin Johnston

LAC

+13.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +170 (2.70) · $100→$270
+13.2% Edge
Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Johnston (lower body) brought in one of two targets for a 65-yard touchdown in the Chargers' 20-18 preseason loss to the Rams on Thursday.
updated Aug 28, 5:59AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
50 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 50.2% · the book's price implies 37.0% · gap +13.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD50.2%37.0%1.99+13.2%

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AI Analysis

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Quentin Johnston (LAC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+170)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Looking at the statistics, Quentin Johnston has been struggling to score touchdowns recently. His overall hit rate in the last 20 games is 30% (6/20), which decreases to 15% (3/10) in his last 10 games and further drops to 0% in his last 5 games (0/5). Similarly, his home hit rate has been falling, with a 20% (4/20) hit rate in the last 20 home games, a 30% hit rate in the last 10, and a 0% hit rate in the last 5. Against the Minnesota Vikings, he has not scored in any of the previous games. Additionally, Johnston is currently on a zero-game scoring streak both overall and at home. Considering these stats, betting on Quentin Johnston to score a touchdown in the upcoming game appears to be a risky proposition, despite the model's marginal edge of 0.1316 (13.16%). The data suggests

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Quentin Johnston's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Quentin Johnston (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Quentin Johnston is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.2% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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