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NFL

Quentin Johnston

LAC

Value call

Quentin Johnston has one live pick today: over 3.5 receptions that pays $294 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
34 in 100
Predicted
3.4 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 33.9% · before adjusting for past results 43.4% · the book's price implies 34.0% · gap -0.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Quentin Johnston
over 3.5 receptions
Receptions (Alt) Over 3.5 +194 (2.94) · $100→$294
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 34 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$29.40 Odds+194
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Quentin Johnston is Over 3.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 34 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 34%, the price says 34%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 2:35AM UTC
UNKNOWN
Johnston's role in the passing game will shrink slightly in Week 8 against the Rams given that both Ladd McConkey (concussion) and Tre' Harris (hamstring) have been cleared to play, Eric Smith of the Chargers' official site reports.
updated Oct 30, 10:53PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions (Alt)43.4%33.9%34.0%2.94+9.4%

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AI Analysis

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Quentin Johnston (LAC) Over 3.5 Player receptions alternate (+194)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Kansas City Chiefs play Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Quentin Johnston (LAC) Over 3.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at +194 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $29.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Quentin Johnston's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards96 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–46.5model over97%tips tracked96

Quentin Johnston's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 96 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions20 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–5.5model over43%tips tracked20

Quentin Johnston's NFL receptions prop has been priced 20 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Quentin Johnston average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -370 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -189 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Receptions — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Quentin Johnston (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Quentin Johnston is Over 3.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.4% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday 18 October at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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