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The latest Bet Better model pick for Quentin Johnston is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 37%, for a model edge of +13.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
NFL

Quentin Johnston

LAC

+13.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +170 (2.70)
+13.2% Edge
Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Johnston said at mandatory minicamp that he's excited for new offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel's scheme and expects to be "set up for the yards after catch," Omar Navarro of the Chargers' official site reports.
updated Jun 23, 4:38PM UTC · 27d old
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Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
37.0%
Model Edge
+13.2%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%37.0%1.99+13.2%

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AI Analysis

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Quentin Johnston (LAC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+170)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Looking at the statistics, Quentin Johnston has been struggling to score touchdowns recently. His overall hit rate in the last 20 games is 30% (6/20), which decreases to 15% (3/10) in his last 10 games and further drops to 0% in his last 5 games (0/5). Similarly, his home hit rate has been falling, with a 20% (4/20) hit rate in the last 20 home games, a 30% hit rate in the last 10, and a 0% hit rate in the last 5. Against the Minnesota Vikings, he has not scored in any of the previous games. Additionally, Johnston is currently on a zero-game scoring streak both overall and at home. Considering these stats, betting on Quentin Johnston to score a touchdown in the upcoming game appears to be a risky proposition, despite the model's marginal edge of 0.1316 (13.16%). The data suggests

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Quentin Johnston's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Quentin Johnston (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Quentin Johnston is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.2% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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