Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Quentin Johnston is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 1%, the price says 11%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 6:01AM UTC
NFL
Quentin Johnston
LAC
Quentin Johnston has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $900 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+800 (9.00) · $100→$900
Value call
Las Vegas Raiders
@
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 8:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 174 of 355 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Johnston caught two of his six targets for 17 yards in Sunday's 26-14 loss to the Cardinals.
updated Sep 14, 1:01AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 1.1% · before adjusting for past results 13.1% · the book's price implies 11.1% · gap -10.0%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 13.1% | 1.1% | 11.1% | 9.00 | +2.0% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Quentin Johnston (LAC) Yes Player last td (+800)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Los Angeles Chargers play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Quentin Johnston (LAC) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +800 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Quentin Johnston's lines for Sun 20 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Quentin Johnston's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3
Quentin Johnston's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards79 lines trackedNo line posted 14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–46.5model over95%tips tracked79
Quentin Johnston's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 79 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions8 lines trackedNo line posted 3.5typical line · receptions
line range3.5–3.5tips tracked8
Quentin Johnston's NFL receptions prop has been priced 8 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Receptions |
3.5 |
Under |
-154 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Receiving Yards |
42.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
9.5 |
Over |
-1429 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Quentin Johnston (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Quentin Johnston is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 20 September at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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