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NFL

Derius Davis

LAC

Value call

Derius Davis has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $2,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
4 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 4.5% · before adjusting for past results 10.4% · the book's price implies 3.9% · gap +0.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Derius Davis
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +2500 (26.00) · $100→$2,600
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 4 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$260.00 Odds+2500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Derius Davis is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 4%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 7:27PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD10.4%4.5%3.9%26.00+6.6%

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AI Analysis

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Derius Davis (LAC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+2500)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Kansas City Chiefs play Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Derius Davis (LAC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +2500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $260 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD21 lines trackedNo line posted
11%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked21

Derius Davis's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 21 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 11%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers Total Touchdowns — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Derius Davis (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Derius Davis is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.6% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday 18 October at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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