Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rhamondre Stevenson is Over 5.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 12 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 12%, the price says 12%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 3:24PM UTC
NFL
Rhamondre Stevenson
NE
Rhamondre Stevenson has one live pick today: Receptions (Alt) Over 5.5 that pays $860 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receptions (Alt)
Over 5.5
+760 (8.60) · $100→$860
Value call
Pittsburgh Steelers
@
New England Patriots
New England · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 174 of 355 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Stevenson rushed 18 times for 51 yards and brought in five of six targets for 44 yards in the Patriots' 13-10 loss to the Seahawks on Wednesday.
updated Sep 10, 4:32AM UTC · 10d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
12 in 100
Predicted
3.9 Receptions (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 12.1% · before adjusting for past results 19.5% · the book's price implies 11.6% · gap +0.5%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions (Alt) | 19.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.60 | +7.9% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 5.5 Player receptions alternate (+760)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New England Patriots play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 5.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at +760 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $86 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Rhamondre Stevenson's lines for Sun 20 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receptions (Alt) 5.5
-141 best over price · 12 books
Rhamondre Stevenson's receptions (alt) line is 5.5, best over price -141 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 4.5
-141 best over price · 12 books
Rhamondre Stevenson's receptions (alt) line is 4.5, best over price -141 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 3.5
-141 best over price · 12 books
Rhamondre Stevenson's receptions (alt) line is 3.5, best over price -141 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 2.5
-141 best over price · 12 books
Rhamondre Stevenson's receptions (alt) line is 2.5, best over price -141 across 12 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5
Rhamondre Stevenson's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Rhamondre Stevenson's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5
Rhamondre Stevenson's receiving yards (alt) line is 9.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 4.5
Rhamondre Stevenson's receiving yards (alt) line is 4.5.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceptionsNext game · Pittsburgh SteelersO 3.5 +174 3.5posted line · receptions
Rhamondre Stevenson has a live NFL receptions market for Pittsburgh Steelers: over 3.5 receptions priced at +174.
Receiving YardsNext game · Pittsburgh SteelersO 9.5 -294 9.5posted line · receiving yds
Rhamondre Stevenson has a live NFL receiving yards market for Pittsburgh Steelers: over 9.5 receiving yds priced at -294.
Anytime TD17 lines trackedNo line posted
52%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked17
Rhamondre Stevenson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 17 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 52%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Rushing Yards12 lines trackedNo line posted 38.5typical line · rushing yds
line range36.5–39.5tips tracked12
Rhamondre Stevenson's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 12 times, typically around a 38.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rhamondre Stevenson is Over 5.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.9% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots on Sunday 20 September at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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