Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Travis Kelce is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 26 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 26%, implied 9%, edge +16.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 5, 1:05AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+1000 (11.00) · $100→$1,100
+16.5% Edge
Denver Broncos
@
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
Tue 15 Sep, 12:15AM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Kelce secured his only target for eight yards in Friday's 9-9 preseason tie with the Seahawks.
updated Aug 29, 3:28AM UTC · 6d old
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How often this wins
26 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 25.6% · the book's price implies 9.1% · gap +16.5%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 25.6% | — | 9.1% | 11.00 | +16.5% |
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Travis Kelce (KC) Yes Player last td (+1000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Kansas City Chiefs play Denver Broncos in the NFL on Tuesday 15 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Travis Kelce (KC) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +1000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $110 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
1 market liveReceiving YardsNext game · Denver Broncos @ Kansas City ChiefsU 41.5 -114 41.5posted line · receiving yds
Travis Kelce has a live NFL receiving yards market for Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs: under 41.5 receiving yds priced at -114.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Travis Kelce (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Travis Kelce is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.5% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs on Tuesday 15 September at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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