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NFL power rankings

Every team rated by who they beat and by how much. A rating of +5 means the team has played about five points better than an average opponent; 0 is dead-average. Strength of schedule is built in — beating good teams counts for more.

As of 2026-09-22, Seattle Seahawks sit first in the results-only NFL ratings at +21.0 points per game against an average opponent, ahead of Minnesota Vikings (+14.3). 32 teams rated; the picks built on these ratings are graded on the public record.

Scope: last 12 months of completed games · latest result 2026-09-22 · recomputed daily · page updated 24 Sep 2026
#TeamRating RecordForAgainst
1 Seattle Seahawks +21.0 6-0 26.3 11.0
2 Minnesota Vikings +14.3 3-0 21.3 9.3
3 Buffalo Bills +11.5 4-1 33.8 25.4
4 New England Patriots +10.6 5-2 19.3 11.6
5 Jacksonville Jaguars +10.5 2-2 28.0 16.0
6 Kansas City Chiefs +9.0 2-1 25.3 18.0
7 Los Angeles Rams +8.8 4-2 25.5 22.0
8 Chicago Bears +8.0 2-3 25.2 22.4
9 Denver Broncos +7.1 3-2 17.8 17.4
10 San Francisco 49ers +6.7 3-2 18.8 18.6
11 Cincinnati Bengals +6.6 2-1 23.7 17.7
12 Las Vegas Raiders +4.9 3-0 22.3 13.0
13 Detroit Lions +3.2 2-1 27.0 29.0
14 Houston Texans +2.6 2-3 24.2 24.0
15 Carolina Panthers +0.5 1-3 29.0 28.0
16 Cleveland Browns -0.4 2-1 17.7 23.7
17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -0.5 1-2 20.7 23.3
18 Green Bay Packers -0.6 1-3 18.0 25.8
19 New York Giants -1.9 2-1 22.7 21.7
20 Arizona Cardinals -2.5 1-2 17.7 27.3
21 Baltimore Ravens -3.9 1-2 27.3 24.3
22 New Orleans Saints -4.0 1-2 23.7 22.3
23 Indianapolis Colts -7.1 0-3 27.7 37.3
24 New York Jets -8.0 1-2 16.0 21.7
25 Los Angeles Chargers -8.2 0-4 8.5 21.8
26 Dallas Cowboys -8.7 1-2 24.7 27.3
27 Pittsburgh Steelers -9.5 2-2 13.8 21.8
28 Philadelphia Eagles -11.2 2-2 21.0 22.3
29 Miami Dolphins -13.9 0-3 12.0 33.3
30 Washington Commanders -14.4 1-2 22.0 26.0
31 Atlanta Falcons -15.3 1-2 11.7 23.7
32 Tennessee Titans -17.9 0-3 12.3 29.3

How it works: we take every completed game, cap blowout margins so one rout can't own a rating, and solve for the set of ratings where each team's number equals its average margin plus the average rating of the teams it faced. That is the classic Simple Rating System — fully reproducible from public scores, no human votes. Ratings recompute daily as results land.

Get this as data: ?format=csv serves the table with stable columns (rank, team, rating, wins, losses, draws, avg_for, avg_against, games), free to use with credit (CC BY 4.0). Trackers and composites welcome.

See where the ratings meet the market: today's NFL picks, predicted scores, fantasy projections and live NFL odds.

The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: 177 of 332 right · +$7,703 at $100 flat
Latest cashed · this bet typeSep 22
Under 17.5
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $355
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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