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The latest Bet Better model pick for Pat Freiermuth is Under 20.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 69%, implied 52%, edge +17.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 12:43AM UTC
NFL

Pat Freiermuth

PIT

+17.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Under 20.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
+17.2% Edge
Minnesota Vikings @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Freiermuth played 10 snaps on offense but did not show up in the box score otherwise during the Steelers' 17-0 preseason loss to the Jets on Friday.
updated Aug 22, 6:01PM UTC · 8d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
69 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 69.0% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap +17.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards69.0%51.8%1.45+17.2%

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AI Analysis

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Pat Freiermuth (PIT) Under 20.5 Receiving Yards (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistics show a clear trend that supports betting on 'Under 20.5' for Pat Freiermuth's player reception yards. Freiermuth's overall and home hit rates for the 'Under' outcome have been consistently low. Over his last 5 games, he has not hit the 'Over' mark once, and in his last 3 games, both home and away, he also failed to cross this threshold. This pattern extends over the last 10 and 20 games where Freiermuth's hit rates were 1/10 and 5/20 respectively. Furthermore, he is currently on a hit streak of zero. It's important to note that these statistics are indicative of a lack of consistency in Freiermuth's performance. Therefore, the data-driven rationale suggests betting on under 20.5 yards for Freiermuth's player reception yards in the upcoming game against the Minnesota Vikings would be a prudent choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards6 lines trackedNo line posted
22.5typical line · receiving yds
line range15.5–22.5tips tracked6

Pat Freiermuth's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 22.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Pat Freiermuth (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Pat Freiermuth is Under 20.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.2% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Vikings vs Pittsburgh Steelers at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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