Dawson Knox (BUF) Over 7.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Dawson Knox to go Over 7.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market does not seem to be a strong bet based on the player's recent performance and trends. Knox has not been successful in his last three overall or home games, with a hit rate of 0/3. His performance over the last five games is also unimpressive, failing to hit this mark in four out of five home games and in all overall games. Even over a larger sample of 10 and 20 games, his hit rates are not encouraging, with only 30% and 40% success rates respectively. His overall hit rate, while better at 65%, still indicates inconsistency. Furthermore, he is currently on a streak of zero hits. Therefore, despite the model edge of 0.03, the data suggests Knox's recent performance is not reliable enough to bet on him exceeding 7.5 reception yards.