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NFL

Chris Blair

ATL

Value call

Chris Blair has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $2,900 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
5 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 4.5% · before adjusting for past results 10.5% · the book's price implies 3.5% · gap +1.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Chris Blair
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +2800 (29.00) · $100→$2,900
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 5 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$290.00 Odds+2800
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chris Blair is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 5 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 5%, the price says 3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 4:45PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Blair went without a target while playing nine of the Falcons' 53 offensive snaps in Sunday's 16-0 loss to the Buccaneers.
updated Nov 2, 3:02PM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD10.5%4.5%3.5%29.00+7.0%

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons: Chris Blair Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+2800)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Chris Blair to score a touchdown tonight, he needs to find the end zone against the Atlanta Falcons. The Buccaneers have leaned more on their running game this season, which could help open things up for Blair. Plus, both teams have struggled against extra rushers, meaning there might be some opportunities for big plays. Blair is an outsider, but the Buccaneers' offense is looking to mix things up after not getting much from the passing game. The risk is that both teams have quarterbacks facing a lot of pressure, so it might be tough for anyone to get consistent chances. Still, with the right opportunities, Blair could make a splash and surprise us all.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD26 lines trackedNo line posted
11%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked26

Chris Blair's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 26 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 11%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Chris Blair (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chris Blair is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.0% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday 1 November at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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