Mike Gesicki has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $350 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
22 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 21.5% · before adjusting for past results 29.9% · the book's price implies 28.6% · gap -7.0%.
Latest Model PickFree
Cincinnati Bengals
@
Miami Dolphins
Mike Gesicki
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD
Yes
+250 (3.50) · $100→$350
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 22 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$35.00
Odds+250
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mike Gesicki is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 22 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 22%, the price says 29%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 8:11AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Mike Gesicki playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Mike Gesicki is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Gesicki caught three of five targets for 40 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 22-17 loss to the Jaguars.
updated Oct 5, 1:58AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 29.9% | 21.5% | 28.6% | 3.50 | +1.4% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals: Mike Gesicki Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+250)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Mike Gesicki scoring a touchdown at +250 looks like a solid bet. The Dolphins are usually strong at home, and Gesicki has been getting chances to catch the ball. With the Bengals' defense giving up some big plays lately, it feels like he has a real shot to find the end zone.
One concern is that the Bengals are a tough team and can make things tricky for the Dolphins. If their defense steps up and shuts down Miami's offense, things could get tough for Gesicki. But with the way the Dolphins have been playing, this is a chance worth taking.
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Mike Gesicki's lines for Sun 11 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Anytime TD
+300 best over price · 14 books
Mike Gesicki's anytime td line is posted, best over price +300 across 14 books.
Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards110 lines trackedNo line posted 24.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over68%tips tracked110
Mike Gesicki's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 110 times, typically around a 24.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD21 lines trackedNo line posted
36%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked21
Mike Gesicki's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 21 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 36%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions82 lines trackedNo line posted 2.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–6.5model over60%tips tracked82
Mike Gesicki's NFL receptions prop has been priced 82 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
27.5 |
Over |
-111 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
24.5 |
Over |
-143 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Receiving Yards |
27.5 |
Over |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Mike Gesicki (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mike Gesicki is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins on Sunday 11 October at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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