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NFL

Jordan Addison

MIN

Value call

Jordan Addison has one live pick today: over 19.5 receiving yards that pays $123 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
46.2 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 84.4% · before adjusting for past results 90.0% · the book's price implies 81.3% · gap +3.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota · Indoor
Mon 9 Nov, 8:15 PM ET
Jordan Addison
over 19.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 19.5 -435 (1.23) · $100→$123
Value call
HIGHWins about 84 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.30 Odds-435
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jordan Addison is Over 19.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 84%, the price says 81%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 13, 12:54AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Addison secured two of three targets for 28 yards in the Vikings' 23-6 loss to the Bills on Monday night.
updated Nov 10, 6:10AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)90.0%84.4%81.3%1.23+8.7%

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AI Analysis

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Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills: Jordan Addison Over 19.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-435)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Jordan Addison to go over 19.5 receiving yards look pretty good. Our numbers show he's a strong favorite for this bet, especially with the Vikings needing him to step up against the Bills' tough defense. He's been showing solid form lately, and with the Vikings playing at home, he might get more chances to shine. One concern is that the Bills have a strong secondary, which can make it tougher for any receiver. Still, Addison has shown he can make plays, and with the Vikings looking to score, he should get the opportunities needed to hit this mark. Overall, betting on him going over 19.5 receiving yards looks like a solid choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (25 picks) 60.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

Jordan Addison's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards51 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–43.5model over98%tips tracked51

Jordan Addison's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 51 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions24 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range2.5–5.5model over48%tips tracked24

Jordan Addison's NFL receptions prop has been priced 24 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Jordan Addison average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Nov 26 Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -435 ✓ HIT
09 Nov 26 Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
09 Nov 26 Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
09 Nov 26 Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings Receptions — — — Pending
09 Nov 26 Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
09 Nov 26 Buffalo Bills @ Minnesota Vikings Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jordan Addison (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 60.0% on tracked Jordan Addison picks. The latest model pick for Jordan Addison is Over 19.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.7% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings on Monday 9 November at Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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