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NFL

Justin Jefferson

MIN

+9.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +145 (2.45)
+9.4% Edge
Cincinnati Bengals @ Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota
Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
40.8%
Model Edge
+9.4%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Justin Jefferson (MIN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Justin Jefferson to score a touchdown anytime during the Minnesota Vikings vs Cincinnati Bengals game may appear risky considering his recent performances. Jefferson has not scored in his last five games overall and his last three games at home. However, when we look at longer-term trends, Jefferson has a 50% strike rate at home over his last 10 games, and he's scored in 42% of all his games, which is a modest but significant hit rate. Therefore, while Jefferson's recent form is concerning, his longer-term home performance hints at his potential to score. The model edge of 0.094 suggests that there may be some value in this bet. However, it is important to note that Jefferson has not scored against the Bengals in his previous encounter, and this bet should be considered with caution.

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Pick History & Track Record

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