Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaiah Davis is Under 9.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 71%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 1, 8:43PM UTC
NFL
Isaiah Davis
NYJ
Isaiah Davis has one live pick today: Receiving Yards Under 9.5 that pays $193 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards
Under 9.5
-108 (1.93) · $100→$193
Value call
New York Jets
@
Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: 226 of 421 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Davis played 16 special-teams snaps during the Jets' 31-24 loss to the Lions on Sunday.
updated Sep 29, 4:58AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
10.2 Receiving Yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 71.4% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap +19.6%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards | 71.4% | — | 51.8% | 2.04 | +19.6% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Isaiah Davis (NYJ) Under 9.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Chicago Bears play New York Jets in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Isaiah Davis (NYJ) Under 9.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Isaiah Davis's lines for Sun 4 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards 9.5
-114 best over price · 7 books
Isaiah Davis's receiving yards line is 9.5, best over price -114 across 7 books.
Receiving Yards 8.5
-120 best over price · 3 books
Isaiah Davis's receiving yards line is 8.5, best over price -120 across 3 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveReceiving YardsNext game · New York Jets @ Chicago BearsU 9.5 -108 9.5posted line · receiving yds
Isaiah Davis has a live NFL receiving yards market for New York Jets @ Chicago Bears: under 9.5 receiving yds priced at -108.
Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
model over27%tips tracked1
Isaiah Davis's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD4 lines trackedNo line posted
16%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked4
Isaiah Davis's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 4 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 16%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 20 Sep 26 |
Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets |
Total Touchdowns |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Isaiah Davis (NYJ) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaiah Davis is Under 9.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.6% on this pick. Their next game is New York Jets vs Chicago Bears on Sunday 4 October at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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