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NFL

Isaiah Davis

NYJ

Value call

Isaiah Davis has one live pick today: over 14.5 rushing yards that pays $462 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
26 in 100
Predicted
14.2 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 25.8% · before adjusting for past results 34.1% · the book's price implies 21.7% · gap +4.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Jets @ New England Patriots
New England · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Isaiah Davis
over 14.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 14.5 +362 (4.62) · $100→$462
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 26 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$46.20 Odds+362
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaiah Davis is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 26 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 26%, the price says 22%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 22, 7:56PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Davis rushed seven times for 16 yards and caught his only target for 10 yards during Sunday's 26-19 loss to the Patriots.
updated Oct 20, 2:37AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)34.1%25.8%21.7%4.62+12.4%

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AI Analysis

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New England Patriots vs New York Jets: Isaiah Davis Over 14.5 Rushing Yards (Alt) (+362)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Isaiah Davis has a solid chance to run for over 14.5 rushing yards in this matchup. The Patriots' offense saw more success throwing than running last season, but they still can create openings for their backs. The Jets struggled against running backs, allowing the most touchdowns per game last season, which suggests they can be vulnerable on the ground. Davis is up against a Jets defense that faced extra rushers often, and this could help him find space to break through. The odds we see give him a real shot at hitting that target, but remember, the Jets will be trying to adjust to stop him. It's a close call, but Davis could still make it happen.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receptions1 line trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
model over27%tips tracked1

Isaiah Davis's NFL receptions prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD4 lines trackedNo line posted
16%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked4

Isaiah Davis's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 4 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 16%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards7 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range8.5–9.5tips tracked7

Isaiah Davis's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 7 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards18 lines trackedNo line posted
5.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–49.5model over61%tips tracked18

Isaiah Davis's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 18 times, typically around a 5.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Isaiah Davis average?How many receiving yards does Isaiah Davis average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Oct 26 New York Jets @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over +362 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 New York Jets @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over +650 ✗ MISS
18 Oct 26 New York Jets @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over +177 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 New York Jets @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 New York Jets @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 New York Jets @ New England Patriots Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Isaiah Davis (NYJ) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaiah Davis is Over 14.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is New York Jets vs New England Patriots on Sunday 18 October at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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