Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NFL

Dak Prescott

DAL

Value call

Dak Prescott has one live pick today: under 23.5 completed passes that pays $185 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
65 in 100
Predicted
20.7 completed passes
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 65.1% · before adjusting for past results 73.9% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +11.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia · Indoor
Mon 26 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Dak Prescott
under 23.5 completed passes
Pass Completions Under 23.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
Value call
HIGHWins about 65 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.50 Odds-118
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dak Prescott is Under 23.5 on Pass Completions.
On Pass Completions, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 65%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 8:41PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Prescott completed 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions while adding two rushes for eight yards in the Cowboys' 38-21 win over the Eagles on Monday night. He also had a two-point conversion run.
updated Oct 27, 3:45AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pass Completions73.9%65.1%54.1%1.96+19.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys: Dak Prescott Under 23.5 Pass Completions (-118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Dak Prescott to have fewer than 23.5 completions tonight, the Eagles' defense needs to pressure him and limit his options. Philadelphia has been strong at home, and their defense knows how to keep opposing quarterbacks in check, especially against big rivals like the Cowboys. With the way both teams are playing, this bet has a good chance. Dak may struggle against a tough Eagles defense that has shown it can make it hard for quarterbacks to find open receivers. The biggest risk is that Prescott could still connect on a few longer passes, which might push his completion numbers higher than expected.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards213 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range3.5–49.5model over23%tips tracked213

Dak Prescott's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 213 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD25 lines trackedNo line posted
18%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked25

Dak Prescott's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 25 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 18%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Passing Yards75 lines trackedNo line posted
199.5typical line · passing yds
line range174.5–278.5model over96%tips tracked75

Dak Prescott's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 75 times, typically around a 199.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Dak Prescott average?How many rushing yards does Dak Prescott average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Pass Completions 23.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards 10.5 Under -105 ✓ HIT
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Rushing Yards 9.5 Under -106 ✓ HIT
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Interceptions Thrown — — — Pending
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Passing Touchdowns (Alt) — — — Pending
26 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Dak Prescott (DAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dak Prescott is Under 23.5 on Pass Completions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles on Monday 26 October at Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.