Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dak Prescott is Under 0.5 on Interceptions Thrown.
On Interceptions Thrown, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 55%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 9:43PM UTC
NFL
Dak Prescott
DAL
Dak Prescott has one live pick today: Interceptions Thrown Under 0.5 that pays $183 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Interceptions Thrown
Under 0.5
-120 (1.83) · $100→$183
Value call
Washington Commanders
@
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 8:25PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 174 of 355 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Prescott completed 22 of 34 passes for 175 yards, two touchdowns and one interception in Sunday's 28-20 loss to the Giants. He also rushed twice for 14 yards.
updated Sep 14, 4:33AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Interceptions Thrown
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 61.3% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap +6.6%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Interceptions Thrown | 61.3% | — | 54.6% | 1.95 | +6.6% |
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Dak Prescott (DAL) Under 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-120)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Dallas Cowboys play Washington Commanders in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Dak Prescott (DAL) Under 0.5 Interceptions Thrown. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Dak Prescott's lines for Sun 20 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Interceptions Thrown 0.5
Dak Prescott's interceptions thrown line is 0.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5
Dak Prescott's rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Dak Prescott's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 24.5
Dak Prescott's rushing yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5
Dak Prescott's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Rushing Attempts (Alt) 5.5
Dak Prescott's rushing attempts (alt) line is 5.5.
Rushing Attempts 2.5
Dak Prescott's rushing attempts line is 2.5.
Anytime TD
Dak Prescott's anytime td line is posted.
Betting angles
Markets & formRushing Yards45 lines trackedNo line posted 24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range3.5–39.5model over21%tips tracked45
Dak Prescott's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 45 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
18%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2
Dak Prescott's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 18%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Dak Prescott (DAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dak Prescott is Under 0.5 on Interceptions Thrown. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.6% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys on Sunday 20 September at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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