Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Adam Trautman is Over 2.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 19 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 19%, the price says 18%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 9:35PM UTC
NFL
Adam Trautman
DEN
Adam Trautman has one live pick today: Receptions (Alt) Over 2.5 that pays $570 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receptions (Alt)
Over 2.5
+470 (5.70) · $100→$570
Value call
Jacksonville Jaguars
@
Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 8:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 174 of 355 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Trautman gathered in two of three targets for 10 yards during Monday's 31-10 loss to the Chiefs.
updated Sep 16, 12:13AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
19 in 100
Predicted
1.9 Receptions (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 19.0% · before adjusting for past results 29.2% · the book's price implies 17.5% · gap +1.5%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions (Alt) | 29.2% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 5.70 | +11.7% |
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Adam Trautman (DEN) Over 2.5 Player receptions alternate (+470)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Denver Broncos play Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Adam Trautman (DEN) Over 2.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at +470 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $57 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Adam Trautman's lines for Sun 20 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receptions (Alt) 2.5
Adam Trautman's receptions (alt) line is 2.5.
Receptions (Alt) 1.5
Adam Trautman's receptions (alt) line is 1.5.
Receptions (Alt) 0.5
Adam Trautman's receptions (alt) line is 0.5.
Receiving Yards 9.5
Adam Trautman's receiving yards line is 9.5.
Receiving Yards 8.5
Adam Trautman's receiving yards line is 8.5.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Adam Trautman's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Anytime TD
Adam Trautman's anytime td line is posted.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Adam Trautman's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD7 lines trackedNo line posted
18%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked7
Adam Trautman's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 7 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 18%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards57 lines trackedNo line posted 9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over58%tips tracked57
Adam Trautman's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 57 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions25 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–3.5model over48%tips tracked25
Adam Trautman's NFL receptions prop has been priced 25 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Adam Trautman (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Adam Trautman is Over 2.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.7% on this pick. Their next game is Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos on Sunday 20 September at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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