Sam LaPorta has one live pick today: over 24.5 receiving yards that pays $116 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
90 in 100
Predicted
55.1 receiving yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 90.1% · before adjusting for past results 93.7% · the book's price implies 86.2% · gap +3.8%.
Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Lions
@
Arizona Cardinals
Sam LaPorta
over 24.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 24.5
-625 (1.16) · $100→$116
Value call
HIGHWins about 90 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$11.60
Odds-625
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam LaPorta is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 90 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 90%, the price says 86%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 5:29AM UTC
Is Sam LaPorta playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Sam LaPorta is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
LaPorta brought in eight of 13 targets for 84 yards and a touchdown in the Lions' 32-26 loss to the Panthers on Sunday night.
updated Oct 5, 4:40AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 93.7% | 90.1% | 86.2% | 1.16 | +7.5% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Sam LaPorta (DET) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate (-625)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Arizona Cardinals play Detroit Lions in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sam LaPorta (DET) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -625 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Sam LaPorta's lines for Sun 11 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Sam LaPorta's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Sam LaPorta's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Sam LaPorta's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Sam LaPorta's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Sam LaPorta's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Anytime TD
+175 best over price · 14 books
Sam LaPorta's anytime td line is posted, best over price +175 across 14 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveReceiving YardsNext game · Arizona CardinalsO 24.5 -625 24.5posted line · receiving yds
Sam LaPorta has a live NFL receiving yards market for Arizona Cardinals: over 24.5 receiving yds priced at -625.
Anytime TD11 lines trackedNo line posted
47%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked11
Sam LaPorta's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 11 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 47%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions111 lines trackedNo line posted 3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–8.5model over73%tips tracked111
Sam LaPorta's NFL receptions prop has been priced 111 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 27 Sep 26 |
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
29.5 |
Over |
-323 |
✓ HIT |
| 27 Sep 26 |
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
39.5 |
Over |
-189 |
✓ HIT |
| 27 Sep 26 |
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
24.5 |
Over |
-500 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
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Sam LaPorta (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam LaPorta is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.5% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals on Sunday 11 October at Arizona. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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