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Baker Mayfield

TB

+1.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Rushing Yards Under 14.5 -120 (1.83)
+1.3% Edge
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay
Model Probability
56.0%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+1.3%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Baker Mayfield (TB) Under 14.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Baker Mayfield to rush for under 14.5 yards in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles game is a statistically sound option. Mayfield's recent performances indicate a downward trend in his rushing yards. His overall hit rate for the last five games is 0/5, and his home hit rate for the last five games is slightly better at 2/5, but still does not inspire confidence. His current hit streak both overall and at home is zero, further pointing to a likely underperformance. While his historical performance against Philadelphia Eagles seems promising with a hit rate of 2/2 both overall and at home, it's important to consider the recency and consistency of his performances. The data suggests that his recent form is more indicative of his performance in this game. As such, betting under 14.5 for Mayfield's rushing yards is a statistically driven decision.

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Pick History & Track Record

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