Joe Burrow (CIN) Over 7.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
When considering a bet on Joe Burrow for over 7.5 rushing yards, home performance is a key factor. Burrow has consistently outperformed this threshold in home games, with a perfect 5/5 hit rate in his last 5 home games and a robust 7/10 hit rate over his last 10 home games. Additionally, he's currently on a 5-game hit streak at home, indicating strong recent performance. His overall hit rate of 12/28 presents a less favorable picture, but it's important to remember that this includes away games where his performance may be less reliable. Given his strong home performance, Burrow's ability to exceed 7.5 rushing yards when playing at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars, coupled with the small model edge of 0.0239533284076096, makes this a bet worth considering.