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NFL

Joe Burrow

CIN

Value call

Joe Burrow has one live pick today: under 24.5 completed passes that pays $200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
56 in 100
Predicted
22.7 completed passes
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 56.1% · before adjusting for past results 65.7% · the book's price implies 50.0% · gap +6.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Joe Burrow
under 24.5 completed passes
Pass Completions Under 24.5 +100 (2.00) · $100→$200
Value call
LEANWins about 56 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.00 Odds+100
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Joe Burrow is Under 24.5 on Pass Completions.
On Pass Completions, our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 50%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 5:08PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Burrow completed 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions while adding two rushes for 12 yards in the Bengals' 35-13 win over the Ravens on Sunday.
updated Oct 25, 9:45PM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pass Completions65.7%56.1%50.0%2.12+15.7%

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AI Analysis

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Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow Under 24.5 Pass Completions (+100)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For the Ravens to cover under 24.5 pass completions for Joe Burrow, he needs to struggle a bit against Baltimore's tough defense. The Ravens are known for putting pressure on quarterbacks, which can make it hard for Burrow to connect with his receivers. They play strong at home, and their defense is good at limiting completions. Burrow has had some ups and downs this season, and facing a solid Ravens team could make it even tougher. The risk here is that Burrow and the Bengals could surprise everyone, but the numbers suggest he might have a tough time tonight. Overall, it seems like a good chance for this bet to hit.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards122 lines trackedNo line posted
6.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–49.5model over62%tips tracked122

Joe Burrow's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 122 times, typically around a 6.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Passing Yards98 lines trackedNo line posted
174.5typical line · passing yds
line range149.5–262.5model over97%tips tracked98

Joe Burrow's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 98 times, typically around a 174.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD15 lines trackedNo line posted
18%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked15

Joe Burrow's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 15 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 18%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Joe Burrow average?How many rushing yards does Joe Burrow average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens Pass Completions 24.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens Pass Completions 25.5 Under -132 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens Passing Yards (Alt) 199.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens Passing Touchdowns — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens Passing Yards — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens Passing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Joe Burrow (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Joe Burrow is Under 24.5 on Pass Completions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.7% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens on Sunday 25 October at Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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