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NFL

Miami Dolphins

Next game: the Dolphins host the Bengals on Sunday 11 October. The market makes the Dolphins about a 3 in 10 chance to win, a fair price of about $3.81. They have covered the spread in 3 of their last 10 regular-season games. See the game preview

Won-lost0-4
At home0-1
Points a game11.5
Last 4LLLL
Next Game: vs Cincinnati Bengals (Home) Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET Miami Game preview ›

Today's Game Pick

Our callFree
Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins
over 17.5 points
Over 17.5 Alternate Team Total Points
LEAN
Our numbers say this wins about 52 times in 100 · a $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands
You bet$10 If it wins$19.10 Odds-110
See why we picked it

Our model gives it about a 52% chance to land; the price says about 49%. That gap is why it made the board.

+10.6%
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Model updated Oct 10, 8:09PM UTC
Answer
The Miami Dolphins model is leaning the over in the Alternate Team Total Points market vs Cincinnati Bengals.
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Every game bet, checked by our model

Our number vs the price
MarketModel output
Alternate Team Total PointsWith Pro
Team TotalWith Pro
Total PointsWith Pro
MoneylineWith Pro

The model has graded 4 game bets on this team — which ones it backs, and how much to put on, is ready for subscribers.

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How the price moved

When prices opened: Bengals about 8 in 10 to win. Now: about 7 in 10. Moved toward Miami Dolphins since prices opened (from about 2 in 10 to about 3 in 10).

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Bengalsabout 7 in 10$1.36 (-278)$1.31 (-323)
Miami Dolphinsabout 3 in 10$3.81 (+281)$3.80 (+280)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.40 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 20 books we check.

All NFL odds this week →

Miami Dolphins same game parlay

With Pro

Our model's same game parlay for Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET. 3 legs:

Ollie Gordon II · receiving yards
Chris Bell · receiving yards
Malik Willis · passing yards

See each leg's pick, line and price, and what it pays, with Pro.

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No parlay is a sure thing — longer combinations pay more exactly because they lose more often.

Dolphins schedule and results, 2026

Results and upcoming games
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotalGame
Sun 13 Sepat Las Vegas RaidersL 13-27Missed (underdog by 3)Under 40.5Game page
Sun 20 Sepat San Francisco 49ersL 13-35Missed (underdog by 12.5)Over 44.5Game page
Sun 27 Sepvs Kansas City ChiefsL 10-24Missed (underdog by 10)Under 45.5Game page
Sun 4 Octat Minnesota VikingsL 10-15Covered (underdog by 10)Under 38.5Game page
Sun 11 Octvs Cincinnati BengalsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 25 Octat New York JetsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 1 Novvs New England PatriotsUpcoming · 4:25 PM ET–––
Sun 8 Novvs Detroit LionsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 15 Novat Indianapolis ColtsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 22 Novat Buffalo BillsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 29 Novvs New York JetsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 6 Decat Denver BroncosUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 13 Decvs Chicago BearsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 20 Decat Green Bay PackersUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 27 Decvs Los Angeles ChargersUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––
Sun 3 Janvs Buffalo BillsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET––Preview
Sun 10 Janat New England PatriotsUpcoming · 1:00 PM ET–––

Spread and total are the main closing lines just before the start. Team results only; these are not Bet Better’s picks.

How often the Dolphins cover the spread

Team history

In the 2025 regular season the Dolphins covered the spread in 8 of 17 games: 5 of 9 at home and 3 of 8 away. Their games went over the total 10 times in 17. So far in 2026: covered in 1 of 4, and over in 1 of 4.

SeasonCovered at homeCovered awayCovered, allOver at homeOver awayOver, all
2026 (so far)0 of 11 of 31 of 40 of 11 of 31 of 4
20255 of 93 of 88 of 174 of 96 of 810 of 17
20243 of 84 of 97 of 176 of 82 of 98 of 17
20236 of 94 of 810 of 174 of 95 of 89 of 17
20225 of 84 of 99 of 171 of 87 of 98 of 17
20215 of 94 of 8 (1 push)9 of 17 (1 push)5 of 92 of 87 of 17
What do these numbers mean?

Bookmakers give the weaker team a head start called the spread. A team covers when it wins by more than the spread, or loses by less than its head start. A push is a tie with the line, so bets were refunded. The total is the bookmakers' line for points in the game; over means the game finished above it. We count the main closing line just before the start, complete seasons only, plus this season so far.

Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.

What the Dolphins defense gives up

  • Among the 5 fewest receiving yards given up to wide receivers this season: 110 a game.
  • Number 3 for most receiving yards given up to tight ends this season: 83 a game.

See every NFL defense vs position

Dolphins injuries

Updated 9 Oct
PlayerPositionStatusInjuryExpected back
Caleb DouglasWROutAnkleabout 25 Oct
Justin JolyTEOutConcussionabout 25 Oct
Kenneth GrantDTInjured reserveToeabout 11 Oct
Reese TaylorCBOutQuadricepsabout 25 Oct
Robert Beal Jr.DEOutHamstringabout 25 Oct
Storm DuckCBOutKneeabout 11 Oct
Jackson WoodardLBQuestionableAnkleabout 11 Oct
Jaylen WrightRBQuestionableFootabout 11 Oct

Weather & Venue Context

Conditions
Roof
Outdoors
Surface
Grass
Wind
12 mph
Temp
73°F
Hard Rock Stadium
Season-pending — reflects the most recent scheduled home fixture on file, not necessarily a live upcoming game.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Moneylinevs Cincinnati Bengals+265

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point Spreadvs Cincinnati BengalsNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsGame totalOver 43.5 -112
60%over %

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Questions about the Dolphins

When do the Dolphins play next?

The Dolphins host the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday 11 October 2026.

How often do the Dolphins cover the spread?

In the 2025 regular season the Dolphins covered the spread in 8 of 17 games: 5 of 9 at home and 3 of 8 away. So far in 2026: covered in 1 of 4.

How often do Dolphins games go over the total?

In the 2025 regular season, Dolphins games went over the total 10 times in 17. So far in 2026: over in 1 of 4.

Who is injured for the Dolphins?

8 players are on the injury list as of 9 October: Caleb Douglas (ankle), Justin Joly (concussion), Kenneth Grant (toe), Reese Taylor (quadriceps), Robert Beal Jr. (hamstring), and 3 more.

Where can I see the Dolphins' next game preview?

Bet Better's Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins game page has the preview and the latest prices. Open the game page

About This Team

Miami Dolphins are tracked by the Bet Better model across NFL games. Their next game is against Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday 11 October. Use the data above to inform your NFL betting decisions for Miami Dolphins.

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