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UFC · Odds this week

UFC fight odds this week

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan is the next UFC card, on Saturday 31 October. 13 of its fights have prices. The main event, Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano, is close: the market makes it about even. Across UFC and other MMA fights the bookies keep about $4.90 of every $100 bet on who wins. We last checked prices at 3:29 pm ET, Monday 26 October.

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · Saturday, Oct 31

Lucia Szabová vs Tainara Lisboa

priced by 19 books at open

Lucia Szabová: about 8 in 10 to win at open.

Live prices for this fight are not in yet.

Fighter pages: Lucia Szabová · Tainara Lisboa

Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano

22 books

Main event

Close fight: the market makes it about even.

Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Tom Nolanabout 5 in 10$1.97 (-103)$1.95 (-105)
Renato Moicanoabout 5 in 10$2.03 (+103)$1.95 (-105)

About where it opened.

Fighter pages: Tom Nolan · Renato Moicano

Andre Petroski vs Azamat Bekoev

priced by 2 books at open

Azamat Bekoev: about 8 in 10 to win at open.

Live prices for this fight are not in yet.

Fighter pages: Andre Petroski · Azamat Bekoev

Cody Durden vs Ode Osbourne

22 books

Close fight: the market makes it about even.

Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Cody Durdenabout 5 in 10$2.07 (+107)$2.05 (+105)
Ode Osbourneabout 5 in 10$1.93 (-108)$1.94 (-106)

About where it opened.

Fighter pages: Cody Durden · Ode Osbourne

Dakota Hope vs Francis Marshall

priced by 21 books at open

Marshall: about 7 in 10 to win at open.

Live prices for this fight are not in yet.

Fighter pages: Dakota Hope · Francis Marshall

Farman Hasanov vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

22 books

Lebosnoyani is the favourite: about 7 in 10 to win.

Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Farman Hasanovabout 3 in 10$3.32 (+232)$3.40 (+240)
Lebosnoyaniabout 7 in 10$1.43 (-233)$1.40 (-250)

Most books: Total rounds 2.5

About where it opened.

Fighter pages: Farman Hasanov · Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Jacobe Smith vs Randy Brown

5 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Jacobe Smithnot enough prices yet--
Randy Brownnot enough prices yet--

Most books: Total rounds 1.5

Fighter pages: Jacobe Smith · Randy Brown

Jeongyoung Lee vs Julian Erosa

16 books

Jeongyoung Lee is the favourite: about 6 in 10 to win.

Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Jeongyoung Leeabout 6 in 10$1.64 (-156)$1.56 (-179)
Julian Erosaabout 4 in 10$2.57 (+157)$2.60 (+160)

Most books: Total rounds 1.5

About where it opened.

Fighter pages: Julian Erosa

Joseph Kropschot vs Nick Klein

21 books

Kropschot is the favourite: about 7 in 10 to win.

Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Kropschotabout 7 in 10$1.38 (-263)$1.33 (-303)
Nick Kleinabout 3 in 10$3.61 (+261)$3.60 (+260)

About where it opened.

Fighter pages: Joseph Kropschot · Nick Klein

Luana Santos vs Yana Santos

priced by 21 books at open

Luana Santos: about 6 in 10 to win at open.

Live prices for this fight are not in yet.

Fighter pages: Luana Santos · Yana Santos

Mickey Gall vs Zachary Reese

8 books

Zachary Reese is the favourite: about 7 in 10 to win.

Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Mickey Gallabout 3 in 10$3.39 (+239)$3.40 (+240)
Zachary Reeseabout 7 in 10$1.42 (-238)$1.36 (-278)

Most books: Total rounds 1.5

About where it opened.

Fighter pages: Mickey Gall

Piera Rodriguez vs Talita Alencar

priced by 20 books at open

Rodriguez: about 7 in 10 to win at open.

Live prices for this fight are not in yet.

Fighter pages: Piera Rodriguez · Talita Alencar

Theodor Berggren vs Rodrigo Sezinando

priced by 21 books at open

Sezinando: about 6 in 10 to win at open.

Live prices for this fight are not in yet.

Fighter pages: Theodor Berggren · Rodrigo Sezinando

What these numbers mean
Market's chance
How likely the betting market thinks a result is, in plain words. About 7 in 10 means it happens about 7 times out of 10.
Fair price
The price with the bookies' cut taken out. We take the middle price across all the books we check and remove their share. It is our house line, not a tip.
Best price
The most any book we check is paying right now. A $10 bet at $1.50 pays back $15 if it wins. Every book keeps a cut, so the best price is often a little under the fair price.
How much the bookies keep
For every $100 bet on who wins, this is the share the bookies keep. Less is better for you.
Moved toward
Since prices opened, the market now gives that side a bigger chance than it did at first. News and money move prices.

UFC odds questions

What are the odds for the next UFC card?
The next UFC card with prices is UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan on Saturday 31 October. The main event, Tom Nolan vs Renato Moicano, is close: the market makes it about even. Every fight on the card with prices is on this page, with each fighter's chance to win in plain words.
What does +150 mean in UFC odds?
+150 means a $10 bet on that fighter wins $15, so you get $25 back if they win. In Australian odds that is $2.50. A minus price marks the favourite: at -200 you bet $20 to win $10.
Where do these UFC betting odds come from?
We check the prices at many bookies, take the middle price and take out the bookies' cut. That gives each fighter's chance to win in plain words. We never show which bookie has which price, so always check the price in your app before you bet.
How do I read UFC odds?
Each fight shows the market's chance for each fighter, the fair price with the bookies' cut taken out, and the best price we can find. A $10 bet at $1.50 pays back $15 if it wins.
What is a fair price?
It is the price with the bookies' cut removed, worked out from the middle price across all the books we check. If the fair price is $1.43, the market thinks that fighter wins about 7 times in 10.
How much do bookies keep on UFC fights?
About $4.90 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the prices we checked on 25 October. It moves a little from day to day.
Why do UFC odds move?
Prices move when news lands, like injuries or a late change of opponent, and when lots of money comes in on one side. Each fight above says which way it has moved since prices opened. Always check the price in your app before you bet.
Are these your picks?
No. This page shows what the betting market thinks. Our model's picks for these fights are on the UFC picks page.

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