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UFC · Odds this week

UFC odds this week

In the next 7 days, 13 UFC and other MMA fights have prices. Across UFC and other MMA fights the bookies keep about $5.00 of every $100 bet on who wins. We last checked prices at 7:32 am ET, Tuesday 6 October.

Today · Tuesday, Oct 6

Preston Lagrange vs Nell Ariano

9 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Lagrangeabout 2 in 10$4.46 (+346)$4.30 (+330)
Nell Arianoabout 8 in 10$1.29 (-345)$1.24 (-417)

Moved toward Nell Ariano since prices opened (from about 7 in 10 to about 8 in 10).

Saturday, Oct 10

Brendson Ribeiro vs Felipe Franco

21 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Ribeiroabout 3 in 10$3.93 (+293)$3.95 (+295)
Felipe Francoabout 7 in 10$1.34 (-294)$1.29 (-345)

Most books: Total rounds 1.5

About where it opened.

Christian Leroy Duncan vs Brendan Allen

23 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Duncanabout 4 in 10$2.24 (+124)$2.24 (+124)
Brendan Allenabout 6 in 10$1.80 (-125)$1.74 (-135)

Most books: Total rounds 3.5

About where it opened.

Darya Zheleznyakova vs Alice Pereira

19 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Zheleznyakovaabout 4 in 10$2.32 (+132)$2.25 (+125)
Alice Pereiraabout 6 in 10$1.76 (-132)$1.74 (-135)

Most books: Total rounds 2.5

About where it opened.

Gerald Meerschaert vs Julius Walker

23 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Meerschaertabout 3 in 10$3.35 (+235)$3.30 (+230)
Julius Walkerabout 7 in 10$1.43 (-233)$1.37 (-270)

Most books: Total rounds 1.5

About where it opened.

Ismael Bonfim vs Francisco Prado

24 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Ismael Bonfimabout 5 in 10$1.99 (-101)$1.91 (-110)
Pradoabout 5 in 10$2.01 (+101)$2.05 (+105)

Most books: Total rounds 1.5

About where it opened.

Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo

23 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Jai Herbertabout 4 in 10$2.71 (+171)$2.70 (+170)
Matheus Camiloabout 6 in 10$1.59 (-169)$1.57 (-175)

Most books: Total rounds 1.5

About where it opened.

Kai Kamaka vs Andre Fili

24 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Kai Kamakaabout 4 in 10$2.36 (+136)$2.30 (+130)
Andre Filiabout 6 in 10$1.74 (-135)$1.67 (-149)

Most books: Total rounds 2.5

About where it opened.

Ketlen Souza vs Lupita Godinez

17 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Ketlen Souzaabout 3 in 10$2.93 (+193)$3.00 (+200)
Lupita Godinezabout 7 in 10$1.52 (-192)$1.47 (-213)

About where it opened.

Leon Shahbazyan vs Niko Price

23 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Shahbazyanabout 6 in 10$1.70 (-143)$1.68 (-147)
Niko Priceabout 4 in 10$2.42 (+142)$2.40 (+140)

Most books: Total rounds 1.5

About where it opened.

Melissa Gatto vs Ernesta Kareckaite

23 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Melissa Gattoabout 5 in 10$1.89 (-112)$1.83 (-120)
Kareckaiteabout 5 in 10$2.12 (+112)$2.15 (+115)

Moved toward Kareckaite since prices opened (from about 4 in 10 to about 5 in 10).

Otari Tanzilovi vs Malcolm Wellmaker

22 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Tanziloviabout 3 in 10$2.89 (+189)$2.90 (+190)
Wellmakerabout 7 in 10$1.53 (-189)$1.48 (-208)

About where it opened.

RJ Harris vs Allen Frye Jr.

22 books
Who wins
FighterMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
RJ Harrisabout 7 in 10$1.40 (-250)$1.37 (-270)
Allen Frye Jr.about 3 in 10$3.48 (+248)$3.50 (+250)

Most books: Total rounds 1.5

Moved toward RJ Harris since prices opened.

What these numbers mean
Market's chance
How likely the betting market thinks a result is, in plain words. About 7 in 10 means it happens about 7 times out of 10.
Fair price
The price with the bookies' cut taken out. We take the middle price across all the books we check and remove their share. It is our house line, not a tip.
Best price
The most any book we check is paying right now. A $10 bet at $1.50 pays back $15 if it wins. Every book keeps a cut, so the best price is often a little under the fair price.
How much the bookies keep
For every $100 bet on who wins, this is the share the bookies keep. Less is better for you.
Moved toward
Since prices opened, the market now gives that side a bigger chance than it did at first. News and money move prices.

UFC odds questions

How do I read UFC odds?
Each fight shows the market's chance for each fighter, the fair price with the bookies' cut taken out, and the best price we can find. A $10 bet at $1.50 pays back $15 if it wins.
What is a fair price?
It is the price with the bookies' cut removed, worked out from the middle price across all the books we check. If the fair price is $1.43, the market thinks that fighter wins about 7 times in 10.
How much do bookies keep on UFC fights?
About $5.00 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the prices we checked on 5 October. It moves a little from day to day.
Why do UFC odds move?
Prices move when news lands, like injuries or a late change of opponent, and when lots of money comes in on one side. Each fight above says which way it has moved since prices opened. Always check the price in your app before you bet.
Are these your picks?
No. This page shows what the betting market thinks. Our model's picks for these fights are on the UFC picks page.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

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