Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Troy Franklin is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns.
On Total Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 1%, the price says 1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:03PM UTC
NFL
Troy Franklin
DEN
Troy Franklin has one live pick today: Total Touchdowns Over 1.5 that pays $12,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Total Touchdowns
Over 1.5
+12500 (126.00) · $100→$12,600
Value call
Jacksonville Jaguars
@
Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 8:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Franklin caught one of two targets for 27 yards in Sunday's 20-13 win over the Jaguars.
updated Sep 23, 3:58AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Total Touchdowns
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 1.4% · before adjusting for past results 2.2% · the book's price implies 0.8% · gap +0.7%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Total Touchdowns | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 126.00 | +1.5% |
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Troy Franklin (DEN) Over 1.5 Player tds over (+12500)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Denver Broncos play Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Troy Franklin (DEN) Over 1.5 Player tds over. It was priced at +12500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1260 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
28%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8
Troy Franklin's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 28%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards6 lines trackedNo line posted 20.5typical line · receiving yds
line range19.5–21.5tips tracked6
Troy Franklin's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 20.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 20 Sep 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos |
Total Touchdowns |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Troy Franklin (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Troy Franklin is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos on Sunday 20 September at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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