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NFL

Troy Franklin

DEN

Value call

Troy Franklin has one live pick today: over 29.5 receiving yards that pays $448 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
32 in 100
Predicted
29.6 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 31.6% · before adjusting for past results 40.1% · the book's price implies 22.3% · gap +9.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 4:25 PM ET
Troy Franklin
over 29.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 29.5 +348 (4.48) · $100→$448
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 32 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$44.80 Odds+348
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Troy Franklin is Over 29.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 32 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 32%, the price says 22%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 3:32PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)40.1%31.6%22.3%4.48+17.8%

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AI Analysis

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Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Troy Franklin Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (+348)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Troy Franklin has a solid chance to go over 29.5 receiving yards in this game against the Kansas City Chiefs. The Broncos' quarterback has been under pressure quite a bit, but they still got more out of passing than running last season. This could lead to Franklin getting some valuable targets as they try to move the ball through the air. The Chiefs have struggled a bit on grass fields, winning less than half of their games against the spread in recent years. With Troy being an underdog, he has a real shot to shine today. The biggest risk is how close the two teams are, but if Denver focuses on their passing game, Franklin could easily reach that yardage.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD28 lines trackedNo line posted
18%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked28

Troy Franklin's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 28 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 18%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards148 lines trackedNo line posted
19.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–79.5model over60%tips tracked148

Troy Franklin's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 148 times, typically around a 19.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions82 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over60%tips tracked82

Troy Franklin's NFL receptions prop has been priced 82 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Troy Franklin (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Troy Franklin is Over 29.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.8% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos on Sunday 1 November at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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