Stefon Diggs has one live pick today: over 19.5 receiving yards that pays $114 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
93 in 100
Predicted
49.7 receiving yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 93.4% · the book's price implies 87.7% · gap +5.7%.
Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Rams
@
Washington Commanders
Stefon Diggs
over 19.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 19.5
-714 (1.14) · $100→$114
Value call
HIGHWins about 93 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$11.40
Odds-714
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Stefon Diggs is Over 19.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 93 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 93%, the price says 88%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 10:14AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Stefon Diggs playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Stefon Diggs is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Diggs caught three of six targets for 38 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 19-10 win over the Eagles.
updated Nov 2, 4:50AM UTC · 6d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 93.4% | — | 87.7% | 1.14 | +5.7% |
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Stefon Diggs (WAS) Over 19.5 Player reception yds alternate (-714)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Washington Commanders play Los Angeles Rams in the NFL on Sunday 8 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Stefon Diggs (WAS) Over 19.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Overall Hit Rate (23 picks)
78.3%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Stefon Diggs's lines for Sun 8 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Stefon Diggs's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Stefon Diggs's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Stefon Diggs's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Stefon Diggs's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5
Stefon Diggs's receiving yards (alt) line is 9.5.
Receptions 4.5
+105 best over price · 18 books
Stefon Diggs's receptions line is 4.5, best over price +105 across 18 books.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · Los Angeles RamsO 19.5 -714 19.5posted line · receiving yds
Stefon Diggs has a live NFL receiving yards market for Los Angeles Rams: over 19.5 receiving yds priced at -714.
ReceptionsNext game · Los Angeles RamsU 4.5 -114 4.5posted line · receptions
Stefon Diggs has a live NFL receptions market for Los Angeles Rams: under 4.5 receptions priced at -114.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 01 Nov 26 |
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
19.5 |
Over |
-476 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
24.5 |
Over |
-323 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
14.5 |
Over |
-769 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 19 Oct 26 |
Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Stefon Diggs (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 78.3% on tracked Stefon Diggs picks. The latest model pick for Stefon Diggs is Over 19.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.7% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders on Sunday 8 November at Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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