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NFL

Stefon Diggs

WAS

Value call

Stefon Diggs has one live pick today: over 24.5 receiving yards that pays $131 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
87 in 100
Predicted
48.5 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 86.7% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap +10.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco · Indoor
Mon 19 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Stefon Diggs
over 24.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 24.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
Value call
HIGHWins about 87 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.10 Odds-323
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Stefon Diggs is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 87 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 87%, the price says 76%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 18, 6:02PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Stefon Diggs playing tomorrow? Not sure yet. Stefon Diggs is listed as questionable, so it is a game-day call. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

QUESTIONABLE
Diggs (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against San Francisco.
updated Oct 17, 7:24PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)86.7%—76.3%1.31+10.4%

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AI Analysis

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San Francisco 49ers vs Washington Commanders: Stefon Diggs Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-323)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Betting on Stefon Diggs to go over 24.5 receiving yards looks good at these odds. Our numbers see him as a strong favorite in this matchup against the Washington Commanders. The 49ers have a solid passing game, and Diggs has been on fire lately, making big plays consistently. The concern is that the Commanders have a decent defense, which could make it tougher for him to hit those yards. Still, with the way he has been performing and the offensive support around him, there's a strong chance he gets there. This game should be exciting, and Diggs could be a key player to watch.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 55.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Stefon Diggs's lines for Tue 20 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Questionable

Stefon Diggs's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Questionable

Stefon Diggs's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Questionable

Stefon Diggs's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Questionable

Stefon Diggs's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
-114 best over price · 2 booksQuestionable

Stefon Diggs's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 40.5
-114 best over price · 2 booksQuestionable

Stefon Diggs's receiving yards (alt) line is 40.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

Receiving Yards 41.5
-114 best over price · 4 booksQuestionable

Stefon Diggs's receiving yards line is 41.5, best over price -114 across 4 books.

Betting angles

1 market live
Receiving YardsNext game · San Francisco 49ersO 24.5 -323
24.5posted line · receiving yds

Stefon Diggs has a live NFL receiving yards market for San Francisco 49ers: over 24.5 receiving yds priced at -323.

Receptions4 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receptions
line range4.5–4.5tips tracked4

Stefon Diggs's NFL receptions prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 4.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Stefon Diggs average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders Receiving Yards (Alt) 69.5 Over +320 ✗ MISS
04 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -1000 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders Receptions — — — Pending

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About This Player

Stefon Diggs (WAS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 55.0% on tracked Stefon Diggs picks. The latest model pick for Stefon Diggs is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.4% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs San Francisco 49ers on Monday 19 October at San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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