Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zay Flowers is Over 59.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 1, 8:25PM UTC
NFL
Zay Flowers
BAL
Zay Flowers has one live pick today: Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 59.5 that pays $163 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 59.5
-159 (1.63) · $100→$163
Value call
Tennessee Titans
@
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: 226 of 421 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Flowers (hamstring) was limited in Wednesday's practice, Sam Cohn of The Baltimore Sun reports.
updated Sep 30, 8:40PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
71.2 Receiving Yards (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 55.3% · before adjusting for past results 66.7% · the book's price implies 61.4% · gap -6.1%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 66.7% | 55.3% | 61.4% | 1.63 | +5.3% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Zay Flowers (BAL) Over 59.5 Player reception yds alternate (-159)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Baltimore Ravens play Tennessee Titans in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Zay Flowers (BAL) Over 59.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Zay Flowers's lines for Sun 4 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 59.5
Questionable
Zay Flowers's receiving yards (alt) line is 59.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5
Questionable
Zay Flowers's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Questionable
Zay Flowers's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Questionable
Zay Flowers's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Questionable
Zay Flowers's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 66.5
-110 best over price · 2 booksQuestionable
Zay Flowers's receiving yards (alt) line is 66.5, best over price -110 across 2 books.
Anytime TD
+143 best over price · 14 booksQuestionable
Zay Flowers's anytime td line is posted, best over price +143 across 14 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveReceiving YardsNext game · Tennessee TitansO 39.5 -385 39.5posted line · receiving yds
Zay Flowers has a live NFL receiving yards market for Tennessee Titans: over 39.5 receiving yds priced at -385.
Anytime TD21 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked21
Zay Flowers's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 21 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Rushing Yards2 lines trackedNo line posted 4.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–4.5model over67%tips tracked2
Zay Flowers's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Zay Flowers (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zay Flowers is Over 59.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.3% on this pick. Their next game is Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens on Sunday 4 October at Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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