Zay Flowers has one live pick today: under 76.5 rush rec yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
65.8 Rush + Rec Yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 68.5% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +15.4%.
Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Chargers
@
Baltimore Ravens
Zay Flowers
under 76.5 rush rec yards
Rush + Rec Yards
Under 76.5
-114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 69 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$18.80
Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zay Flowers is Under 76.5 on Rush + Rec Yards.
On Rush + Rec Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 69%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Zay Flowers playing tomorrow? Yes, on the latest team news. Zay Flowers is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Flowers brought in three of six targets for six yards and rushed three times for 17 yards in the Ravens' 33-10 loss to the Jaguars on Thursday night.
updated Nov 6, 5:03AM UTC · 9d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rush + Rec Yards | 68.5% | — | 53.2% | 1.99 | +15.4% |
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Zay Flowers (BAL) Under 76.5 Rush + Rec Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Baltimore Ravens play Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Tuesday 17 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Zay Flowers (BAL) Under 76.5 Rush + Rec Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Zay Flowers's lines for Tue 17 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rush + Rec Yards 76.5
Zay Flowers's rush + rec yards line is 76.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Zay Flowers's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5
Zay Flowers's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5.
Rushing Yards 3.5
Zay Flowers's rushing yards line is 3.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Zay Flowers's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Zay Flowers's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 59.5
Zay Flowers's receiving yards (alt) line is 59.5.
Rushing Yards 2.5
Zay Flowers's rushing yards line is 2.5.
Betting angles
3 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · Los Angeles ChargersO 39.5 -476 39.5posted line · receiving yds
Zay Flowers has a live NFL receiving yards market for Los Angeles Chargers: over 39.5 receiving yds priced at -476.
ReceptionsNext game · Los Angeles ChargersU 5.5 -102 5.5posted line · receptions
Zay Flowers has a live NFL receptions market for Los Angeles Chargers: under 5.5 receptions priced at -102.
Rushing YardsNext game · Los Angeles ChargersU 3.5 -128 3.5posted line · rushing yds
Zay Flowers has a live NFL rushing yards market for Los Angeles Chargers: under 3.5 rushing yds priced at -128.
Anytime TD39 lines trackedNo line posted
45%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked39
Zay Flowers's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 39 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 45%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 05 Nov 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens |
Receptions (Alt) |
2.5 |
Over |
-370 |
✓ HIT |
| 05 Nov 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens |
Receptions (Alt) |
1.5 |
Over |
-1111 |
✓ HIT |
| 05 Nov 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 05 Nov 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens |
Receptions (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 05 Nov 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 05 Nov 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens |
Receptions |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Zay Flowers (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zay Flowers is Under 76.5 on Rush + Rec Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.4% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens on Monday 16 November at Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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