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The latest Bet Better model pick for Zay Flowers is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 45%, for a model edge of +5.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NFL

Zay Flowers

BAL

+5.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +122 (2.22)
+5.2% Edge
Detroit Lions @ Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Ravens general manager Eric DeCosta said Thursday on 105.7 The Fan that Baltimore "definitely" wants to ink Flowers to a contract extension before the start of the 2026 regular season, Cordell Woodland of 105.7 The Fan Baltimore reports.
updated Jul 16, 4:14PM UTC · 4d old
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Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
45.1%
Model Edge
+5.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—45.1%1.99+5.2%

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AI Analysis

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Zay Flowers (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Zay Flowers to score a touchdown at any time in the game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Detroit Lions seems unfavorable based on historical performance data. Flowers has an overall hit rate of 8/37, which equates to just over 21.6%. His record at home is also discouraging with a hit rate of 4/19, or roughly 21.1%. In his last 10 games, he has only scored once, and in his last 5 games, he has not scored at all. His performance against Detroit is even worse, with no touchdowns in one previous game. Furthermore, his current hit streak for scoring touchdowns, both overall and specifically against Detroit, is zero. Given all these factors, it seems statistically unlikely that Flowers will score a touchdown in this game. Therefore, it would be a high-risk bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD19 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked19

Zay Flowers's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 19 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards2 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–4.5model over67%tips tracked2

Zay Flowers's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Zay Flowers (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zay Flowers is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.2% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Baltimore Ravens at Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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