Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
NFL

DeMario Douglas

NE

Value call

DeMario Douglas has one live pick today: over 14.5 receiving yards that pays $130 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
39.5 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 84.1% · before adjusting for past results 89.3% · the book's price implies 76.9% · gap +7.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
Thu 22 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
DeMario Douglas
over 14.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 14.5 -333 (1.30) · $100→$130
Value call
HIGHWins about 84 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.00 Odds-333
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for DeMario Douglas is Over 14.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 84%, the price says 77%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 29, 9:56AM UTC
UNKNOWN
Douglas caught three of his four targets for 23 yards in the Patriots' 30-24 loss to the Bears on Thursday.
updated Oct 24, 2:26AM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)89.3%84.1%76.9%1.30+12.4%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots: DeMario Douglas Over 14.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-333)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds of -333 for DeMario Douglas to get over 14.5 receiving yards look pretty solid. Our numbers show he's a strong favorite to hit that mark, especially since the Bears' defense has struggled against passing plays this season. Chicago's quarterback has faced a lot of pressure, which can lead to quicker throws and more opportunities for Douglas to make some catches. While the Bears have a decent record on grass, they still might find it tough to contain Douglas, given his ability to exploit gaps in their coverage. One risk is that both teams have seen their quarterbacks under pressure, which could disrupt their passing game. But overall, Douglas seems set to clear that 14.5 receiving yards with the way things have been shaking out.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (27 picks) 85.2% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards74 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–49.5model over88%tips tracked74

DeMario Douglas's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 74 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions37 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–7.5model over76%tips tracked37

DeMario Douglas's NFL receptions prop has been priced 37 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
19%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

DeMario Douglas's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 19%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -159 ✗ MISS
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards (Alt) 30.5 Over -109 ✗ MISS
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

DeMario Douglas (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 85.2% on tracked DeMario Douglas picks. The latest model pick for DeMario Douglas is Over 14.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears on Thursday 22 October at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.