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NFL

DeMario Douglas

NE

Value call

DeMario Douglas has one live pick today: under 30.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
29.2 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.4% · before adjusting for past results 62.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -3.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
DeMario Douglas
under 30.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 30.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for DeMario Douglas is Under 30.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 9, 2:30AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Douglas caught two of three targets for 15 yards during Sunday's 29-26 win over Buffalo.
updated Oct 6, 2:57AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards62.2%49.4%53.2%2.00+9.1%

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AI Analysis

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Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots: DeMario Douglas Under 30.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

DeMario Douglas has a tough matchup against the Buffalo Bills, who gave up about 170 passing yards per game last season. With their solid defense, it's likely he won't rack up many receiving yards. The Bills have also been pretty consistent stopping receivers, making it hard for Douglas to hit those numbers. While Douglas has potential, he faces a Bills team that's hard to score against. Their defense has been solid, and they force a lot of tough situations for opposing players. Plus, with both teams being pretty even in their recent performances, this could be a close game where every yard counts. So, taking the under on Douglas's receiving yards seems reasonable here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards35 lines trackedNo line posted
29.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–35.5model over67%tips tracked35

DeMario Douglas's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 29.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions21 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–7.5model over87%tips tracked21

DeMario Douglas's NFL receptions prop has been priced 21 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does DeMario Douglas average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills Receiving Yards 30.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills Receptions 2.5 Under +113 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills Receiving Yards 29.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills Receiving Yards — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills Receiving Yards — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

DeMario Douglas (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for DeMario Douglas is Under 30.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.1% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills on Sunday 4 October at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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