Justin Herbert has one live pick today: under 0.5 interceptions thrown that pays $241 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
0.6 Interceptions Thrown
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 53.5% · the book's price implies 41.5% · gap +12.1%.
Latest Model PickFree
Houston Texans
@
Los Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert
under 0.5 interceptions thrown
Interceptions Thrown
Under 0.5
+141 (2.41) · $100→$241
Value call
LEANWins about 54 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$24.10
Odds+141
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Herbert is Under 0.5 on Interceptions Thrown.
On Interceptions Thrown, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 41%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 10:14AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Justin Herbert playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Justin Herbert is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Herbert completed 24 of 32 passes for 257 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions while rushing four times for 15 yards in the Chargers' 24-9 loss to the Rams on Sunday. He also committed a fumble that remained with the Chargers.
updated Nov 2, 2:14AM UTC · 6d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Interceptions Thrown | 53.5% | — | 41.5% | 2.55 | +12.1% |
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Justin Herbert (LAC) Under 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+141)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Los Angeles Chargers play Houston Texans in the NFL on Sunday 8 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Justin Herbert (LAC) Under 0.5 Interceptions Thrown. It was priced at +141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Overall Hit Rate (21 picks)
66.7%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Justin Herbert's lines for Sun 8 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Interceptions Thrown 0.5
Justin Herbert's interceptions thrown line is 0.5.
Passing Touchdowns 0.5
Justin Herbert's passing touchdowns line is 0.5.
Passing Touchdowns 1.5
Justin Herbert's passing touchdowns line is 1.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5
Justin Herbert's rushing yards (alt) line is 9.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 124.5
Justin Herbert's passing yards (alt) line is 124.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5
Justin Herbert's rushing yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5
Justin Herbert's passing yards (alt) line is 149.5.
Betting angles
2 markets liveRushing YardsNext game · Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersO 9.5 -385 9.5posted line · rushing yds
Justin Herbert has a live NFL rushing yards market for Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers: over 9.5 rushing yds priced at -385.
Passing YardsNext game · Houston Texans @ Los Angeles ChargersO 124.5 -1429
124.5posted line · passing yds
Justin Herbert has a live NFL passing yards market for Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers: over 124.5 passing yds priced at -1429.
Anytime TD24 lines trackedNo line posted
24%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked24
Justin Herbert's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 24 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 24%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 01 Nov 26 |
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
174.5 |
Over |
-250 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
149.5 |
Over |
-476 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
169.5 |
Over |
-303 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Rushing Attempts (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Justin Herbert (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 66.7% on tracked Justin Herbert picks. The latest model pick for Justin Herbert is Under 0.5 on Interceptions Thrown. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.1% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 8 November at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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