Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers: Justin Herbert Over 149.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (-345)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Kansas City Chiefs have a strong defense, but they struggle against tight ends, which could create opportunities for Justin Herbert. Last season, the Chargers allowed a fair number of touchdowns to tight ends, and this weakness might push Herbert to target his tight end more often. With Herbert's skill, he's likely to gain a lot of passing yards, especially when he needs to respond to the Chiefs' high-powered offense.
Betting on Herbert to throw over 149.5 passing yards feels like a solid pick. He's faced extra rushers quite a bit this season, but he's shown he can handle that pressure well. The main risk here is that both teams are pretty close in talent, so it could be a tight game that limits Herbert's chances. Still, we see him hitting that yardage mark more often than not.