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NFL Week 5 predictions: model picks for every game

Week 5 runs Thu Oct 8 to Mon Oct 12. The model has a pick for 14 of the 15 games. Of these, 2 rate HIGH and 12 rate LEAN.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys

Thu Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET
Our pick: Dallas Cowboys -8.5 (point spread)-120

LEAN: about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

See the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys matchup

Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET
Our pick: Over 24.5 (team total points)-114

LEAN: about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

See the Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars matchup

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Our pick: Under 45.5 (total points)-110

LEAN: about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

See the Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers matchup

Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Our pick is ready (total points). Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
See the Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins matchup

Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Our pick is ready (total points). Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
See the Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots matchup

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Our pick is ready (total points). Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
See the Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints matchup

Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Our pick is ready (total points). Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
See the Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets matchup

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET

The model's pick lands a day or two before kickoff.

See the Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers matchup

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Our pick is ready (point spread). Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
See the Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans matchup

New York Giants at Washington Commanders

Sun Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Our pick is ready (total points). Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
See the New York Giants vs Washington Commanders matchup

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers

Sun Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET
Our pick is ready (total points). Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
See the Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers matchup

Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals

Sun Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
Our pick is ready (point spread). Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
See the Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals matchup

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

Sun Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET
Our pick is ready (total points). Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
See the San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks matchup

Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons

Sun Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET
Our pick is ready (point spread). Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
See the Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons matchup

Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams

Mon Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET
Our pick is ready (total points). Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
See the Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams matchup
← Week 4 final scoresWeek 6 early picks →Today's NFL picksNFL parlaysNFL prop betsEvery week of 2026Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6

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Questions people ask

What are the best NFL bets for Week 5?

The model has a pick for 14 of the 15 games in Week 5 (Thu Oct 8 to Mon Oct 12). The free ones show the price and how sure the model is, in plain words.

Are these picks free?

The first 3 picks on this page are free, no sign-up. Pro shows every one.

When do Week 5 picks come out?

A day or two before each game, once the bookies price it. This page fills up through the week.

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