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NFL

Evan Engram

DEN

Value call

Evan Engram has one live pick today: under 2.5 receptions that pays $193 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
53 in 100
Predicted
2.3 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.6% · before adjusting for past results 61.0% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap +0.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 4:25 PM ET
Evan Engram
under 2.5 receptions
Receptions Under 2.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
Value call
LEANWins about 53 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.30 Odds-108
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Evan Engram is Under 2.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 53%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 4:47PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Engram failed to catch any of his three targets in Sunday's 28-24 win over the Chiefs.
updated Nov 3, 3:39AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions61.0%52.6%51.8%2.06+9.2%

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AI Analysis

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Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Evan Engram Under 2.5 Receptions (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Denver Broncos are facing off against the Kansas City Chiefs at home, and it's going to be a tough game. Evan Engram has a good chance to fall short of 2.5 receptions. The Broncos have been better at defending against tight ends, and their quarterback has seen extra pressure quite a bit this season. Engram might not get as many opportunities to catch the ball, especially since throwing hasn't been the main focus for Denver. On the other side, the Chiefs have also struggled with their receivers not getting many catches when they're on the road. Their quarterback has faced some extra rushers too, which can make it hard to complete passes. With both teams leaning more on their passing games but not always succeeding, it makes sense to take the under on Engram's receptions. The biggest risk is how close the teams are in performance, but this pick still looks solid.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards107 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–79.5model over42%tips tracked107

Evan Engram's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 107 times, typically around a 24.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions37 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–5.5model over56%tips tracked37

Evan Engram's NFL receptions prop has been priced 37 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
19%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Evan Engram's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 19%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receptions 2.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards 24.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Receptions 2.5 Under -102 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Evan Engram (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Evan Engram is Under 2.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.2% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos on Sunday 1 November at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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