Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Courtland Sutton is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 97 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 97%, implied 81%, edge +15.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 11:39PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 24.5
-435 (1.23) · $100→$123
+15.5% Edge
New England Patriots
@
Denver Broncos
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Sutton failed to bring in either of his two targets in the Broncos' 33-13 preseason loss to the Packers on Friday.
updated Aug 22, 4:56AM UTC · 8d old
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How often this wins
97 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 96.8% · the book's price implies 81.3% · gap +15.5%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 96.8% | — | 81.3% | 1.03 | +15.5% |
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Courtland Sutton (DEN) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate (-435)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards35 lines trackedNo line posted 14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–89.5model over98%tips tracked35
Courtland Sutton's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8
Courtland Sutton's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions19 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–6.5model over99%tips tracked19
Courtland Sutton's NFL receptions prop has been priced 19 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Courtland Sutton (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Courtland Sutton is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.5% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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