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NFL

Courtland Sutton

DEN

Value call

Courtland Sutton has one live pick today: over 24.5 receiving yards that pays $156 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
45.9 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 75.7% · before adjusting for past results 82.8% · the book's price implies 64.1% · gap +11.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
Thu 15 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
Courtland Sutton
over 24.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 24.5 -179 (1.56) · $100→$156
Value call
HIGHWins about 76 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.60 Odds-179
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Courtland Sutton is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 76%, the price says 64%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 14, 10:24PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 807 of 1,525 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Courtland Sutton playing tomorrow? Yes, on the latest team news. Courtland Sutton is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Sutton posted two catches (on three targets) for 18 yards and one touchdown during Sunday's 23-17 victory at the Chargers.
updated Oct 12, 1:39AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)82.8%75.7%64.1%1.56+18.7%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

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AI Analysis

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Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks: Courtland Sutton Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-179)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Courtland Sutton needs to have a big game for the Denver Broncos, and there are good reasons to think he will. The Seattle Seahawks have been tough against running backs, but they struggle more with wide receivers. Sutton is likely to see plenty of targets and should have a decent chance to rack up over 24.5 receiving yards, especially since the Broncos' quarterback has faced extra rushers often this season. However, Sutton will need to step up against a Seahawks defense that has been effective at times. Still, our numbers rate this as a strong favourite, suggesting that he can find openings and make plays tonight. If everything falls into place, he should be able to hit that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Courtland Sutton's lines for Fri 16 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5

Courtland Sutton's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Receiving Yards 31.5
-114 best over price · 5 books

Courtland Sutton's receiving yards line is 31.5, best over price -114 across 5 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
-130 best over price · 1 book

Courtland Sutton's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5, best over price -130 across 1 book.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5

Courtland Sutton's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.

Receiving Yards 32.5
-111 best over price · 5 books

Courtland Sutton's receiving yards line is 32.5, best over price -111 across 5 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5

Courtland Sutton's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5

Courtland Sutton's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5

Courtland Sutton's receiving yards (alt) line is 9.5.

Betting angles

1 market live
Receiving YardsNext game · Seattle SeahawksO 29.5 -132
29.5posted line · receiving yds

Courtland Sutton has a live NFL receiving yards market for Seattle Seahawks: over 29.5 receiving yds priced at -132.

Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

Courtland Sutton's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions62 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–6.5model over50%tips tracked62

Courtland Sutton's NFL receptions prop has been priced 62 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Courtland Sutton average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Courtland Sutton (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Courtland Sutton is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.7% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos on Thursday 15 October at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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