Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Courtland Sutton is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 13 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 13%, the price says 9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:05PM UTC
NFL
Courtland Sutton
DEN
Courtland Sutton has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $1,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+1000 (11.00) · $100→$1,100
Value call
Los Angeles Rams
@
Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
Mon 28 Sep, 12:20AM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Sutton secured three of four targets for 25 yards in the Broncos' 20-13 win over the Jaguars on Sunday.
updated Sep 21, 3:19AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
13 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 12.8% · the book's price implies 9.1% · gap +3.7%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 12.8% | — | 9.1% | 11.00 | +3.7% |
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Courtland Sutton (DEN) Yes Player last td (+1000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Denver Broncos play Los Angeles Rams in the NFL on Monday 28 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Courtland Sutton (DEN) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +1000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $110 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Courtland Sutton's lines for Mon 28 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Courtland Sutton's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards35 lines trackedNo line posted 14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–89.5model over98%tips tracked35
Courtland Sutton's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8
Courtland Sutton's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions19 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–6.5model over99%tips tracked19
Courtland Sutton's NFL receptions prop has been priced 19 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Courtland Sutton (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Courtland Sutton is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos on Monday 28 September at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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