Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Courtland Sutton is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On the Receiving Yards (Alt) market the model assigns a model win probability of 97%, versus the book's implied 81%, for a model edge of +15.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NFL
Courtland Sutton
DEN
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 24.5
-435 (1.23)
+15.5% Edge
![Away team]()
New England Patriots
@
![Home team]()
Denver Broncos
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Sutton could benefit from more one-on-one matchups during the upcoming season following Denver's acquisition of Jaylen Waddle, Susanna Weir of the team's official site reports.
updated Jul 10, 11:22PM UTC · 10d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
Implied Probability
81.3%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 96.8% | — | 81.3% | 1.03 | +15.5% |
See every market's calibrated edge
Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.
Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime
Courtland Sutton (DEN) Over 24.5 Player reception yds alternate (-435)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards35 lines trackedNo line posted 14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range14.5–89.5model over98%tips tracked35
Courtland Sutton's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8
Courtland Sutton's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions19 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–6.5model over99%tips tracked19
Courtland Sutton's NFL receptions prop has been priced 19 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Courtland Sutton (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Courtland Sutton is Over 24.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.5% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.