Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ian Thomas is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 14 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 14%, implied 2%, edge +12.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 7, 8:18PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+5500 (56.00) · $100→$5,600
+12.1% Edge
Miami Dolphins
@
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 8:25PM
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
14 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 13.9% · the book's price implies 1.8% · gap +12.1%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 13.9% | — | 1.8% | 56.00 | +12.1% |
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Ian Thomas (LV) Yes Player last td (+5500)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Las Vegas Raiders play Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ian Thomas (LV) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +5500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $560 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Ian Thomas's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Ian Thomas's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Anytime TD
+1100 best over price · 1 book
Ian Thomas's anytime td line is posted, best over price +1100 across 1 book.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas RaidersAnytime TD +1700
Ian Thomas has a live NFL anytime td market for Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders priced at +1700.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Ian Thomas (LV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ian Thomas is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.1% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 13 September at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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