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NFL

Ian Thomas

LV

Value call

Ian Thomas has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,900 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
14 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 14.5% · the book's price implies 5.3% · gap +9.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Ian Thomas
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1800 (19.00) · $100→$1,900
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 14 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$190.00 Odds+1800
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ian Thomas is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 14 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 14%, the price says 5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 10:09PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,073 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Thomas (shoulder) has returned to Sunday's contest against the Rams, Sam Warren of The Athletic reports.
updated Oct 25, 9:38PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD14.5%—5.3%19.00+9.2%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Rams: Ian Thomas Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1800)

Odds correct at time of publishing

This game features the Las Vegas Raiders against the Los Angeles Rams, and it's a good spot to consider Ian Thomas for a touchdown. The Rams have a solid defense that doesn't give up many touchdowns to running backs, but they can be vulnerable in other areas. The Raiders did better throwing the ball than running it last season, which might open up opportunities for Thomas. Thomas is not a top pick, but that's what makes his odds enticing. With the Raiders' quarterback facing extra rushers often, he might look for Thomas in the end zone more than usual. The biggest risk is that both teams have similar stats when it comes to handling pressure, so it could be a close call. Still, taking a shot on Thomas scoring feels worth it here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Ian Thomas's lines for Sun 25 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Anytime TD

Ian Thomas's anytime td line is posted.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD31 lines trackedNo line posted
13%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked31

Ian Thomas's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 31 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 13%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 26 Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ian Thomas (LV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ian Thomas is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.2% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 25 October at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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