Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ian Thomas is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 11%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 4, 11:42AM UTC
NFL
Ian Thomas
LV
Ian Thomas has one live pick today: Anytime TD Yes that pays $2,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD
Yes
+2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
Value call
Kansas City Chiefs
@
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 8:25PM
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
11 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 10.6% · the book's price implies 4.4% · gap +6.2%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 10.6% | — | 4.4% | 23.00 | +6.2% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Ian Thomas (LV) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+2200)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Las Vegas Raiders play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ian Thomas (LV) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +2200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $230 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Ian Thomas's lines for Sun 4 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Anytime TD
+1100 best over price · 3 books
Ian Thomas's anytime td line is posted, best over price +1100 across 3 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas RaidersAnytime TD +2200
Ian Thomas has a live NFL anytime td market for Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders priced at +2200.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders |
Total Touchdowns |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Ian Thomas (LV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ian Thomas is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.2% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 4 October at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.