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NFL

Eli Raridon

NE

Value call

Eli Raridon has one live pick today: over 3.5 receptions that pays $1,420 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
8 in 100
Predicted
1.5 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.0% · before adjusting for past results 11.6% · the book's price implies 7.0% · gap +0.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots
New England · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Eli Raridon
over 3.5 receptions
Receptions (Alt) Over 3.5 +1320 (14.20) · $100→$1,420
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 8 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$142.00 Odds+1320
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Eli Raridon is Over 3.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 8%, the price says 7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 2:01AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Raridon caught all five of his targets for 57 yards during the Patriots' 45-17 win over the Raiders on Sunday.
updated Oct 14, 1:46AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions (Alt)11.6%8.0%7.0%14.20+4.6%

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AI Analysis

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Eli Raridon (NE) Over 3.5 Player receptions alternate (+1320)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New England Patriots play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Eli Raridon (NE) Over 3.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at +1320 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $142 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD7 lines trackedNo line posted
14%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked7

Eli Raridon's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 7 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 14%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions8 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range2.5–4.5model over22%tips tracked8

Eli Raridon's NFL receptions prop has been priced 8 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards7 lines trackedNo line posted
39.5typical line · receiving yds
line range29.5–69.5model over13%tips tracked7

Eli Raridon's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 7 times, typically around a 39.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Receptions (Alt) 3.5 Over +1320 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Receptions (Alt) 2.5 Over +459 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5 Over +880 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Eli Raridon (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Eli Raridon is Over 3.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +4.6% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots on Sunday 11 October at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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