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NFL

Eli Raridon

NE

Value call

Eli Raridon has one live pick today: under 27.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
44 in 100
Predicted
24.6 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 43.5% · before adjusting for past results 66.7% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -9.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
Miami · Indoor
Sun 1 Nov, 4:25 PM ET
Eli Raridon
under 27.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 27.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 44 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Eli Raridon is Under 27.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 44 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 44%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 10:29AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,174 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Raridon had one reception for five yards on four targets in New England's 24-19 win over the Dolphins on Sunday.
updated Nov 3, 1:59AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards66.7%43.5%53.2%2.00+13.5%

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AI Analysis

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Eli Raridon (NE) Under 27.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Miami Dolphins play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 1 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Eli Raridon (NE) Under 27.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (23 picks) 78.3% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
14%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9

Eli Raridon's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 14%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions35 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over54%tips tracked35

Eli Raridon's NFL receptions prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards56 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over56%tips tracked56

Eli Raridon's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 56 times, typically around a 14.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Nov 26 New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins Receiving Yards 27.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins Receiving Yards 26.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins Receiving Yards 25.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins Receptions — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receptions — — — Pending

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About This Player

Eli Raridon (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 78.3% on tracked Eli Raridon picks. The latest model pick for Eli Raridon is Under 27.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.5% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins on Sunday 1 November at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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