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NFL

Bo Nix

DEN

Value call

Bo Nix has one live pick today: under 21.5 completed passes that pays $194 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
19.5 completed passes
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 68.7% · the book's price implies 51.6% · gap +17.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
Arizona · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 4:05 PM ET
Bo Nix
under 21.5 completed passes
Pass Completions Under 21.5 -106 (1.94) · $100→$194
Value call
HIGHWins about 69 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.40 Odds-106
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bo Nix is Under 21.5 on Pass Completions.
On Pass Completions, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 69%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 22, 6:24PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Bo Nix playing on Sunday? Yes, on the latest team news. Bo Nix is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Nix completed 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions and rushed four times for two yards in the Broncos' 17-14 overtime win over the Seahawks on Thursday. He also recovered a fumble.
updated Oct 16, 4:54AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pass Completions68.7%—51.6%2.06+17.2%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Arizona Cardinals vs Denver Broncos: Bo Nix Under 21.5 Pass Completions (-106)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Bo Nix to go under 21.5 pass completions tonight, the Cardinals need to pressure him and limit his throws. The Broncos' offense has struggled at times, which could mean fewer opportunities for Nix to rack up completions. Our numbers suggest he has a good chance of hitting this under, especially since the Cardinals' defense has been solid against the pass. However, the risk is that both teams are closely matched, so it could lead to a more competitive game that forces Nix to throw more.

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Pick History & Track Record

Bo Nix's lines for Sun 25 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pass Completions 21.5

Bo Nix's pass completions line is 21.5.

Rushing Yards 12.5
-105 best over price · 6 books

Bo Nix's rushing yards line is 12.5, best over price -105 across 6 books.

Passing Yards (Alt) 189.5

Bo Nix's passing yards (alt) line is 189.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 174.5

Bo Nix's passing yards (alt) line is 174.5.

Rushing Yards 11.5
-105 best over price · 6 books

Bo Nix's rushing yards line is 11.5, best over price -105 across 6 books.

Passing Yards (Alt) 179.5

Bo Nix's passing yards (alt) line is 179.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 199.5

Bo Nix's passing yards (alt) line is 199.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 169.5

Bo Nix's passing yards (alt) line is 169.5.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Passing YardsNext game · Arizona CardinalsO 174.5 -400
174.5posted line · passing yds

Bo Nix has a live NFL passing yards market for Arizona Cardinals: over 174.5 passing yds priced at -400.

Rushing YardsNext game · Arizona CardinalsU 11.5 -111
11.5posted line · rushing yds

Bo Nix has a live NFL rushing yards market for Arizona Cardinals: under 11.5 rushing yds priced at -111.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Bo Nix average?How many rushing yards does Bo Nix average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
15 Oct 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos Rushing Yards 14.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos Rushing Yards 13.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos Pass Completions 21.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
15 Oct 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
15 Oct 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos Rushing Attempts — — — Pending
15 Oct 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Denver Broncos Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bo Nix (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bo Nix is Under 21.5 on Pass Completions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.2% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals on Sunday 25 October at Arizona. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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