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NFL

Bo Nix

DEN

Value call

Bo Nix has one live pick today: over 174.5 passing yards that pays $134 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
79 in 100
Predicted
220.3 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 79.0% · before adjusting for past results 92.4% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap +4.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers
Carolina · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Bo Nix
over 174.5 passing yards
Passing Yards (Alt) Over 174.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
Value call
HIGHWins about 79 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.40 Odds-294
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bo Nix is Over 174.5 on Passing Yards (Alt).
On Passing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 79 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 79%, the price says 75%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 14, 4:54AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Nix completed 25 of 37 passes for 237 yards and two touchdowns with one interception in Sunday's 26-21 win over the Panthers. He added two rushing yards on five carries.
updated Nov 8, 11:47PM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards (Alt)92.4%79.0%74.6%1.34+17.8%

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AI Analysis

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Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos: Bo Nix Over 174.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (-294)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Denver Broncos' defense has been known to send extra rushers, making it tough for quarterbacks like Bo Nix. But looking at how he performed last season, he actually did better throwing the ball than running it, which bodes well for this matchup. Nix has a solid chance to hit over 174.5 passing yards against a Broncos defense that has struggled with the pass rush lately. While the Panthers have had mixed results against the line, Nix's ability to handle pressure will be key. The Broncos' quarterback also faced a lot of extra rushers, which might mean they will be focused on stopping him. Still, our numbers see this as a strong pick for Nix to rise above that passing yard mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)
Overall Hit Rate (28 picks) 96.4% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards35 lines trackedNo line posted
13.5typical line · rushing yds
line range10.5–22.5tips tracked35

Bo Nix's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 13.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Passing Yards251 lines trackedNo line posted
149.5typical line · passing yds
line range124.5–229.5model over98%tips tracked251

Bo Nix's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 251 times, typically around a 149.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Bo Nix average?How many rushing yards does Bo Nix average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers Passing Yards (Alt) 174.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers Passing Yards (Alt) 179.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers Passing Yards (Alt) 169.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bo Nix (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 96.4% on tracked Bo Nix picks. The latest model pick for Bo Nix is Over 174.5 on Passing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.8% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers on Sunday 8 November at Carolina. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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