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The latest Bet Better model pick for Bo Nix is Under 21.5 on Rushing Yards.
On the Rushing Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +18.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NFL

Bo Nix

DEN

+18.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Under 21.5 -112 (1.89)
+18.3% Edge
Cincinnati Bengals @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Nix (ankle) participated in 7-on-7 drills at Wednesday's mandatory minicamp practice, Nick Kosmider of The Athletic reports.
updated Jun 17, 7:04PM UTC · 33d old
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Model Probability
71.2%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+18.3%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards71.2%52.9%1.40+18.3%

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AI Analysis

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Bo Nix (DEN) Under 21.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The statistical data indicates that betting under 21.5 for Bo Nix's rushing yards in the upcoming Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals game might be a wise choice. Nix has been underperforming, with an overall hit rate of 7/21, indicating he has only surpassed this mark in roughly a third of his games. His recent performance also leans toward the under, as his overall hit rate over the last 5 games stands at 0/5. When playing at home, his hit rate is slightly better at 4/9, but it's still under 50%. Nix's performance specifically against the Bengals is not promising either, with a hit rate of 0/1. His current hit streaks in all categories are at zero. Considering these stats, Nix's chances of rushing for more than 21.5 yards seem low, making the under bet a reasoned choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards10 lines trackedNo line posted
20.5typical line · rushing yds
line range20.5–22.5tips tracked10

Bo Nix's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 10 times, typically around a 20.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Bo Nix (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bo Nix is Under 21.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.3% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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