Caleb Douglas has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $800 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
18 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 18.2% · before adjusting for past results 25.6% · the book's price implies 12.5% · gap +5.7%.
Latest Model PickFree
Cincinnati Bengals
@
Miami Dolphins
Caleb Douglas
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD
Yes
+700 (8.00) · $100→$800
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 18 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$80.00
Odds+700
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Douglas is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 18 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 18%, the price says 13%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 9:35PM UTC
Is Caleb Douglas playing tomorrow? No. Caleb Douglas is listed as out. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
OUT
Douglas (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Bengals, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.
updated Oct 9, 8:46PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 25.6% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 8.00 | +13.1% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Caleb Douglas (MIA) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+700)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Miami Dolphins play Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Caleb Douglas (MIA) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +700 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Caleb Douglas's lines for Sun 11 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Anytime TD
Out
Caleb Douglas's anytime td line is posted.
Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
26%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1
Caleb Douglas's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 26%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Caleb Douglas (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Douglas is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.1% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins on Sunday 11 October at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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