Deshaun Watson has one live pick today: under 6.5 rushing attempts that pays $186 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
5.0 rushing attempts
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 73.7% · the book's price implies 53.8% · gap +19.9%.
Latest Model PickFree
Houston Texans
@
Cleveland Browns
Deshaun Watson
under 6.5 rushing attempts
Rushing Attempts
Under 6.5
-116 (1.86) · $100→$186
Value call
HIGHWins about 74 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$18.60
Odds-116
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Deshaun Watson is Under 6.5 on Rushing Attempts.
On Rushing Attempts, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:03PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Deshaun Watson playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Deshaun Watson is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
The Browns announced Wednesday that Watson (concussion) will start Sunday's game against the Texans, Kelsey Russo of the team's official site reports.
updated Nov 11, 2:38PM UTC · 4d old
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| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Attempts | 73.7% | — | 53.8% | 1.97 | +19.9% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Deshaun Watson (CLE) Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts (-116)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Cleveland Browns play Houston Texans in the NFL on Sunday 15 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Deshaun Watson (CLE) Under 6.5 Rushing Attempts. It was priced at -116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Deshaun Watson's lines for Sun 15 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Attempts 6.5
Deshaun Watson's rushing attempts line is 6.5.
Pass Completions 19.5
Deshaun Watson's pass completions line is 19.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 124.5
Deshaun Watson's passing yards (alt) line is 124.5.
Passing Touchdowns 0.5
Deshaun Watson's passing touchdowns line is 0.5.
Anytime TD
+550 best over price · 14 books
Deshaun Watson's anytime td line is posted, best over price +550 across 14 books.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 9.5
Deshaun Watson's rushing yards (alt) line is 9.5.
Passing Touchdowns 1.5
Deshaun Watson's passing touchdowns line is 1.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 14.5
Deshaun Watson's rushing yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Betting angles
3 markets liveAnytime TDNext game · Houston TexansAnytime TD +550
Deshaun Watson has a live NFL anytime td market for Houston Texans priced at +550.
Passing YardsNext game · Houston TexansO 124.5 -1429
124.5posted line · passing yds
Deshaun Watson has a live NFL passing yards market for Houston Texans: over 124.5 passing yds priced at -1429.
Rushing YardsNext game · Houston TexansO 9.5 -588 9.5posted line · rushing yds
Deshaun Watson has a live NFL rushing yards market for Houston Texans: over 9.5 rushing yds priced at -588.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 01 Nov 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
149.5 |
Over |
-667 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
124.5 |
Over |
-1667 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Passing Yards (Alt) |
159.5 |
Over |
-435 |
✓ HIT |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Passing Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Passing Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 01 Nov 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers |
Passing Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
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Deshaun Watson (CLE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Deshaun Watson is Under 6.5 on Rushing Attempts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns on Sunday 15 November at Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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