Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Samaje Perine is Under 15.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 5, 1:17PM UTC
NFL
Samaje Perine
CIN
Samaje Perine has one live pick today: Rushing Yards Under 15.5 that pays $185 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards
Under 15.5
-118 (1.85) · $100→$185
Value call
Jacksonville Jaguars
@
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 702 of 1,223 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Perine turned three carries into nine yards and caught one pass on three targets for five yards during the Bengals' 30-27 loss to the Steelers on Sunday. He also returned one kickoff for 26 yards.
updated Sep 30, 12:32AM UTC · 5d old
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
15.7 Rushing Yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 51.7% · before adjusting for past results 63.4% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap -2.3%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards | 63.4% | 51.7% | 54.1% | 1.96 | +9.3% |
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Samaje Perine (CIN) Under 15.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Cincinnati Bengals play Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Samaje Perine (CIN) Under 15.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Overall Hit Rate (21 picks)
61.9%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Betting angles
Markets & formRushing Yards34 lines trackedNo line posted 4.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–24.5model over94%tips tracked34
Samaje Perine's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 34 times, typically around a 4.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions27 lines trackedNo line posted 4.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over11%tips tracked27
Samaje Perine's NFL receptions prop has been priced 27 times, typically around a 4.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards41 lines trackedNo line posted 49.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–59.5model over9%tips tracked41
Samaje Perine's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 41 times, typically around a 49.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD4 lines trackedNo line posted
20%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked4
Samaje Perine's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 4 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 20%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Rushing Yards |
15.5 |
Under |
-118 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Rushing Yards |
13.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Rush + Rec Yards |
26.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Receptions |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 04 Oct 26 |
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Samaje Perine (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 61.9% on tracked Samaje Perine picks. The latest model pick for Samaje Perine is Under 15.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.3% on this pick. Their next game is Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday 4 October at Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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