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NFL

Ollie Gordon II

MIA

Value call

Ollie Gordon II has one live pick today: under 7.5 receiving yards that pays $192 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
9.2 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.6% · before adjusting for past results 69.2% · the book's price implies 52.1% · gap -2.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins
Miami · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Ollie Gordon II
under 7.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 7.5 -109 (1.92) · $100→$192
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.20 Odds-109
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ollie Gordon II is Under 7.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 14, 5:02AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Gordon rushed 16 times for 55 yards and brought in his only target for nine yards in the Dolphins' 19-9 loss to the Lions on Sunday.
updated Nov 8, 11:11PM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards69.2%49.6%52.1%2.03+17.1%

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AI Analysis

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Miami Dolphins vs Detroit Lions: Ollie Gordon II Under 7.5 Receiving Yards (-109)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Miami Dolphins are facing off against the Detroit Lions, and this matchup could be tricky for Ollie Gordon II. The Dolphins' defense has been pretty strong lately, making it hard for receivers to get open and rack up yards. With their focus on stopping the big plays, Gordon might struggle to find space. Betting on him to get under 7.5 receiving yards looks like a smart choice here. Our numbers show there's a good chance this bet could hit, but keep in mind that if the Lions decide to pass more than usual, it could change things quickly.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (30 picks) 80.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards117 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–70.5model over79%tips tracked117

Ollie Gordon II's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 117 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards22 lines trackedNo line posted
7.5typical line · receiving yds
line range5.5–39.5tips tracked22

Ollie Gordon II's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 22 times, typically around a 7.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions24 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–4.5model over13%tips tracked24

Ollie Gordon II's NFL receptions prop has been priced 24 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
38%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6

Ollie Gordon II's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 38%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Ollie Gordon II average?How many receiving yards does Ollie Gordon II average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Receiving Yards 7.5 Under -109 ✗ MISS
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Rushing Yards 70.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Rushing Attempts 16.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Rushing Yards — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Rush + Rec Yards — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Rush + Rec Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ollie Gordon II (MIA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 80.0% on tracked Ollie Gordon II picks. The latest model pick for Ollie Gordon II is Under 7.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.1% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins on Sunday 8 November at Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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