On Sunday 18 October 2026, Liverpool play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Liverpool Draw No Bet, priced at +148 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Liverpool vs Arsenal: Liverpool Draw No Bet (+148)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Liverpool prepares to host Arsenal, the stakes couldn’t be higher. While Liverpool’s recent home form shows a less-than-ideal 3-1-1 record, they’ve been solid defensively, conceding just 0.8 goals per match over the last five home games. Contrast that with Arsenal's formidable away performance; they’ve won four of their last five on the road, yet they've faced a few vulnerabilities against the Reds historically, with Arsenal managing just one win in their past five encounters with Liverpool. Liverpool's attacking stats are on the rise, averaging 14 shots per game, indicating they're still capable of finding the back of the net. With the odds favoring a Liverpool victory under the Draw No Bet market, it’s a wise choice, especially given their fight and resilience at Anfield. Expect a tightly contested match, but Liverpool’s home advantage could very well tip the scales in their favor.
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.