Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Marvin Mims Jr. is Over 49.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 43 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 43%, implied 26%, edge +17.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 19, 3:38AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 49.5
+292 (3.92) · $100→$392
+17.6% Edge
New England Patriots
@
Denver Broncos
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Mims (undisclosed) participated in stretch and drills before working to the side of Monday's training camp practice, Zac Stevens of TheDNVR.com reports.
updated Aug 17, 10:24PM UTC · 1d old
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How often this wins
43 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 43.1% · the book's price implies 25.5% · gap +17.6%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 43.1% | — | 25.5% | 2.32 | +17.6% |
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Marvin Mims Jr. (DEN) Over 49.5 Player reception yds alternate (+292)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards16 lines trackedNo line posted 4.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over98%tips tracked16
Marvin Mims Jr.'s NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 16 times, typically around a 4.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions6 lines trackedNo line posted 6.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–6.5model over11%tips tracked6
Marvin Mims Jr.'s NFL receptions prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 6.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
38%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3
Marvin Mims Jr.'s NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 38%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Rushing Yards36 lines trackedNo line posted 2.5typical line · rushing yds
line range2.5–39.5model over54%tips tracked36
Marvin Mims Jr.'s NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 36 times, typically around a 2.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Marvin Mims Jr. (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Marvin Mims Jr. is Over 49.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.6% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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