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NFL

Marvin Mims Jr.

DEN

Value call

Marvin Mims Jr. has one live pick today: over 9.5 receiving yards that pays $193 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
24.5 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.5% · before adjusting for past results 69.3% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap -2.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers
Carolina · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 1:00 PM ET
Marvin Mims Jr.
over 9.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Over 9.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.30 Odds-108
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Marvin Mims Jr. is Over 9.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:05PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Mims caught one of two targets for zero yards, added a five-yard carry and returned three punts for 22 yards during the Broncos' 26-21 win over the Panthers on Sunday.
updated Nov 11, 2:45AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards69.3%49.5%51.8%2.04+17.5%

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AI Analysis

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Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos: Marvin Mims Jr. Over 9.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Marvin Mims Jr. has been showing some solid form lately, making him a player to watch. The Carolina Panthers have struggled to defend against the pass, which could open up opportunities for him. With the Panthers relying more on their passing game this season, Mims should have a good chance to rack up receiving yards. The bet is for Mims to go over 9.5 receiving yards. The Broncos' quarterback has faced extra pressure quite a bit, which means quick passes could become essential. The biggest risk is that both teams are close when it comes to stopping the pass, so it could go either way. Still, our numbers show a good chance for Mims to hit that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards36 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · rushing yds
line range2.5–39.5model over54%tips tracked36

Marvin Mims Jr.'s NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 36 times, typically around a 2.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards159 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over74%tips tracked159

Marvin Mims Jr.'s NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 159 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD16 lines trackedNo line posted
18%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked16

Marvin Mims Jr.'s NFL anytime td prop has been priced 16 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 18%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions69 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–6.5model over55%tips tracked69

Marvin Mims Jr.'s NFL receptions prop has been priced 69 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Marvin Mims Jr. average?How many rushing yards does Marvin Mims Jr. average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers Receptions (Alt) 0.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
01 Nov 26 Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos Receiving Yards (Alt) 4.5 Over -476 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Marvin Mims Jr. (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Marvin Mims Jr. is Over 9.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.5% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers on Sunday 8 November at Carolina. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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