Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lamar Jackson is Yes on Anytime TD.
On the Anytime TD market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 32%, for a model edge of +18.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:21PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD
Yes
+210 (3.10) · $100→$310
+18.0% Edge
Chicago Bears
@
Baltimore Ravens
UNKNOWNSeason pending
When asked earlier this week whether he would continue to run less this coming season after logging a career-low 67 rushing attempts through 13 regular-season games in 2025, Jackson was noncommittal, Jamison Hensley of ESPN reports.
updated May 29, 7:53PM UTC · 73d old
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Implied Probability
32.3%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 50.2% | — | 32.3% | 1.99 | +18.0% |
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Lamar Jackson (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9
Lamar Jackson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Lamar Jackson (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lamar Jackson is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.0% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Baltimore Ravens at Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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