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NFL

Lamar Jackson

BAL

Value call

Lamar Jackson has one live pick today: under 7.5 rushing attempts that pays $170 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
70 in 100
Predicted
5.4 rushing attempts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 69.7% · before adjusting for past results 78.8% · the book's price implies 58.8% · gap +10.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Lamar Jackson
under 7.5 rushing attempts
Rushing Attempts Under 7.5 -143 (1.70) · $100→$170
Value call
HIGHWins about 70 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.00 Odds-143
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lamar Jackson is Under 7.5 on Rushing Attempts.
On Rushing Attempts, our numbers say this bet wins about 70 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 70%, the price says 59%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:39AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
QUESTIONABLE
Jackson (ankle) wasn't present for the media-access portion of Wednesday's practice, Cordell Woodland of 105.7 The Fan Baltimore reports.
updated Oct 14, 5:31PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Attempts78.8%69.7%58.8%1.80+19.9%

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AI Analysis

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Lamar Jackson (BAL) Under 7.5 Rushing Attempts (-143)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Baltimore Ravens play Tennessee Titans in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Lamar Jackson (BAL) Under 7.5 Rushing Attempts. It was priced at -143 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9

Lamar Jackson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Passing Yards56 lines trackedNo line posted
149.5typical line · passing yds
line range124.5–219.5model over99%tips tracked56

Lamar Jackson's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 56 times, typically around a 149.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards7 lines trackedNo line posted
31.5typical line · rushing yds
line range30.5–33.5tips tracked7

Lamar Jackson's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 7 times, typically around a 31.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Oct 26 Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Rushing Attempts 7.5 Under -143 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Passing Yards (Alt) 179.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Passing Yards (Alt) 189.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
04 Oct 26 Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Rushing Attempts — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Lamar Jackson (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lamar Jackson is Under 7.5 on Rushing Attempts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens on Sunday 4 October at Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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