Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lamar Jackson is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 32%, for a model edge of +18.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:28PM UTC
NFL
Lamar Jackson
BAL
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+210 (3.10)
+18.0% Edge
![Away team]()
Chicago Bears
@
![Home team]()
Baltimore Ravens
UNKNOWNSeason pending
When asked earlier this week whether he would continue to run less this coming season after logging a career-low 67 rushing attempts through 13 regular-season games in 2025, Jackson was noncommittal, Jamison Hensley of ESPN reports.
updated May 29, 7:53PM UTC · 52d old
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Implied Probability
32.3%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime Touchdown Scorer | 50.2% | — | 32.3% | 1.99 | +18.0% |
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Lamar Jackson (BAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD9 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked9
Lamar Jackson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 9 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Lamar Jackson (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lamar Jackson is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.0% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Baltimore Ravens at Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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