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NFL

Jared Goff

DET

+12.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 29.5 +3400 (35.00)
+12.4% Edge
Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions
Detroit
Model Probability
15.3%
Implied Probability
2.9%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Jared Goff (DET) Over 29.5 Player rush yds alternate (+3400)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Statistically, betting on Jared Goff to rush for over 29.5 yards seems to be a risky proposition. Goff's historical rushing performance paints a clear picture: he has not managed to surpass the 29.5 yard mark in his recent games. This is evidenced by his hit rate, which stands at 0 in his last 3, 5, 10, and 20 overall games, as well as in his last 3, 5, 10, and 20 home games. Specifically, against the Dallas Cowboys, Goff's rushing yards have never exceeded the stipulated 29.5 yard threshold in their previous encounters. Given these statistics, the odds seem heavily stacked against Goff achieving a rushing yard total above 29.5. However, model edge of 0.124 suggests there is a slight statistical advantage for this outcome. It's important to note this doesn't guarantee success, but instead implies there might be overlooked factors potentially favoring

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Pick History & Track Record

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