Jared Goff has one live pick today: under 279.5 passing yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
59 in 100
Predicted
264.8 passing yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 58.8% · before adjusting for past results 68.3% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +5.8%.
Latest Model PickFree
Green Bay Packers
@
Detroit Lions
Jared Goff
under 279.5 passing yards
Passing Yards
Under 279.5
-112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
LEANWins about 59 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$18.90
Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jared Goff is Under 279.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 59%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 22, 6:22PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Jared Goff playing on Sunday? Yes, on the latest team news. Jared Goff is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Goff completed 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions while adding a one-yard touchdown on his only rush attempt in the Lions' 45-21 win over the Cardinals on Sunday. He also committed a fumble recovered by Detroit.
updated Oct 12, 1:29AM UTC · 10d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
See every number
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Passing Yards | 68.3% | 58.8% | 52.9% | 2.00 | +15.3% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Jared Goff (DET) Under 279.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Detroit Lions play Green Bay Packers in the NFL on Sunday 25 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jared Goff (DET) Under 279.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Jared Goff's lines for Sun 25 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Passing Yards 279.5
-114 best over price · 4 books
Jared Goff's passing yards line is 279.5, best over price -114 across 4 books.
Passing Yards 278.5
-114 best over price · 3 books
Jared Goff's passing yards line is 278.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.
Passing Yards 277.5
-112 best over price · 4 books
Jared Goff's passing yards line is 277.5, best over price -112 across 4 books.
Pass Completions 24.5
Jared Goff's pass completions line is 24.5.
Rushing Yards 0.5
-102 best over price · 4 books
Jared Goff's rushing yards line is 0.5, best over price -102 across 4 books.
Interceptions Thrown 0.5
Jared Goff's interceptions thrown line is 0.5.
Anytime TD
+950 best over price · 14 books
Jared Goff's anytime td line is posted, best over price +950 across 14 books.
Passing Yards (Alt) 224.5
Jared Goff's passing yards (alt) line is 224.5.
Betting angles
3 markets livePassing YardsNext game · Green Bay PackersU 278.5 -114
278.5posted line · passing yds
Jared Goff has a live NFL passing yards market for Green Bay Packers: under 278.5 passing yds priced at -114.
Rushing YardsNext game · Green Bay PackersO 0.5 -102 0.5posted line · rushing yds
Jared Goff has a live NFL rushing yards market for Green Bay Packers: over 0.5 rushing yds priced at -102.
Anytime TDNext game · Green Bay PackersAnytime TD +900
Jared Goff has a live NFL anytime td market for Green Bay Packers priced at +900.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 11 Oct 26 |
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals |
Interceptions Thrown |
0.5 |
Over |
+140 |
✗ MISS |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals |
Rushing Yards |
0.5 |
Over |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 11 Oct 26 |
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals |
Rushing Yards (Alt) |
0.5 |
Over |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Jared Goff (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jared Goff is Under 279.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.3% on this pick. Their next game is Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 25 October at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.