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NFL

Jared Goff

DET

Value call

Jared Goff has one live pick today: over 219.5 passing yards that pays $127 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
263.2 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 91.2% · the book's price implies 78.7% · gap +12.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
Sun 15 Nov, 9:30 AM ET
Jared Goff
over 219.5 passing yards
Passing Yards (Alt) Over 219.5 -370 (1.27) · $100→$127
Value call
HIGHWins about 91 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.70 Odds-370
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jared Goff is Over 219.5 on Passing Yards (Alt).
On Passing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 91%, the price says 79%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 13, 11:55PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Jared Goff playing on Sunday? Yes, on the latest team news. Jared Goff is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Goff (chest) practiced fully Thursday.
updated Nov 12, 9:18PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards (Alt)91.2%—78.7%1.27+12.4%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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Detroit Lions vs New England Patriots: Jared Goff Over 219.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (-370)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Jared Goff to throw over 219.5 passing yards look solid. Our numbers see him as a strong favorite to hit this mark against the New England Patriots. Goff has been in good form lately, and the Lions' offense is rolling, making it likely he'll rack up a good number of passing yards. One risk to consider is that the Patriots have a decent defense, which could make things tougher for Goff. However, with the way he's been playing at home and the Lions' overall momentum, he has a strong chance to exceed that yardage. It should be an exciting matchup!

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Pick History & Track Record

Jared Goff's lines for Sun 15 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Passing Yards (Alt) 219.5

Jared Goff's passing yards (alt) line is 219.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 209.5

Jared Goff's passing yards (alt) line is 209.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 224.5

Jared Goff's passing yards (alt) line is 224.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 199.5

Jared Goff's passing yards (alt) line is 199.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 229.5

Jared Goff's passing yards (alt) line is 229.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 189.5

Jared Goff's passing yards (alt) line is 189.5.

Anytime TD
+1100 best over price · 4 books

Jared Goff's anytime td line is posted, best over price +1100 across 4 books.

Passing Yards (Alt) 239.5

Jared Goff's passing yards (alt) line is 239.5.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Anytime TDNext game · New England PatriotsAnytime TD +1200

Jared Goff has a live NFL anytime td market for New England Patriots priced at +1200.

Passing YardsNext game · New England PatriotsO 219.5 -370
219.5posted line · passing yds

Jared Goff has a live NFL passing yards market for New England Patriots: over 219.5 passing yds priced at -370.

Rushing YardsNext game · New England PatriotsO 0.5 +104
0.5posted line · rushing yds

Jared Goff has a live NFL rushing yards market for New England Patriots: over 0.5 rushing yds priced at +104.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Jared Goff average?How many rushing yards does Jared Goff average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Interceptions Thrown 0.5 Over +123 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Detroit Lions @ Miami Dolphins Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jared Goff (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jared Goff is Over 219.5 on Passing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 15 November at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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