NFL

Nate Boerkircher

Name: Nate Boerkircher — NFL model probabilities
Creator: Bet Better
License: https://betbetter.world/Terms

JAX

Value call

Nate Boerkircher has one live pick today: over 5.5 receiving yards that pays $193 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call

HIGH

How often this wins

67 in 100

Predicted

19.4 receiving yards

See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 67.2% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap +15.4%.

Latest Model PickFree

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville · Indoor

Sun 18 Oct, 9:30 AM ET

Nate Boerkircher
over 5.5 receiving yards

Receiving Yards Over 5.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193

Value call

HIGHWins about 67 times in 100, by our numbers

You bet$10 If it wins$19.30 Odds-108

See why we picked it

Answer

The latest Bet Better model pick for Nate Boerkircher is Over 5.5 on Receiving Yards.

On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 67%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.

Model updated Oct 15, 1:48AM UTC

The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat

Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

every bet public →

No injury designation

No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.

Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number

Market	Model	Model probability	Implied	Fair Odds	Edge
Receiving Yards	67.2%	—	51.8%	2.04	+15.4%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans: Nate Boerkircher Over 5.5 Receiving Yards (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Nate Boerkircher has been stepping up for the Jaguars lately, showing he can make big plays when it counts. With the Texans coming to town, Jacksonville will look to capitalize on their passing game, and Boerkircher should get plenty of chances to catch the ball. Our numbers show there's a good chance he'll go over 5.5 receiving yards. The biggest risk is that the Texans' defense has been tough against the pass at times, so it won't be a walk in the park. However, with the Jaguars playing at home and Boerkircher's recent form, this bet looks promising. If he gets involved early, he can easily hit that mark.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Nate Boerkircher's lines for Sun 18 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receiving Yards 5.5