Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nate Boerkircher is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 13 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 13%, the price says 3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 7:57PM UTC
NFL
Nate Boerkircher
JAX
Nate Boerkircher has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $3,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+3500 (36.00) · $100→$3,600
Value call
New England Patriots
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Boerkircher caught his only target for nine yards during Sunday's 34-10 win versus the Browns.
updated Sep 15, 12:45AM UTC · 8d old
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How often this wins
13 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 13.5% · the book's price implies 2.8% · gap +10.7%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 13.5% | — | 2.8% | 36.00 | +10.7% |
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Nate Boerkircher (JAX) Yes Player last td (+3500)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Jacksonville Jaguars play New England Patriots in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Nate Boerkircher (JAX) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +3500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $360 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Nate Boerkircher's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Nate Boerkircher's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Anytime TD
+950 best over price · 14 books
Nate Boerkircher's anytime td line is posted, best over price +950 across 14 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · New England Patriots @ Jacksonville JaguarsAnytime TD +750
Nate Boerkircher has a live NFL anytime td market for New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars priced at +750.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Total Touchdowns |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Nate Boerkircher (JAX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nate Boerkircher is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.7% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday 27 September at Jacksonville. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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