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NFL

Kendrick Bourne

ARI

Value call

Kendrick Bourne has one live pick today: over 3.5 receptions that pays $207 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
39 in 100
Predicted
3.9 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 39.5% · before adjusting for past results 55.6% · the book's price implies 48.3% · gap -8.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
Arizona · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 4:05 PM ET
Kendrick Bourne
over 3.5 receptions
Receptions Over 3.5 +107 (2.07) · $100→$207
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 39 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.70 Odds+107
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kendrick Bourne is Over 3.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 39 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 39%, the price says 48%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 2:15AM UTC
UNKNOWN
Bourne caught three of six targets for nine yards during Sunday's 30-16 loss versus the Broncos.
updated Oct 27, 12:18AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions55.6%39.5%48.3%2.20+7.3%

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AI Analysis

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Arizona Cardinals vs Denver Broncos: Kendrick Bourne Over 3.5 Receptions (+107)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Kendrick Bourne has been showing he can be a reliable target for the Arizona Cardinals lately. The team has been throwing more effectively than running, which makes it likely they'll look to Bourne to catch some passes. With the Broncos struggling against tight ends last season, this could set up a good chance for him to grab over 3.5 receptions. Both teams are pretty evenly matched, so there's a real possibility this could be a tight game. The biggest risk is that the Broncos' defense has been good at limiting big plays, which could make it harder for Bourne to rack up those catches. Still, at these odds, it feels like a solid bet worth considering.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards105 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over91%tips tracked105

Kendrick Bourne's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 105 times, typically around a 9.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions114 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–6.5model over51%tips tracked114

Kendrick Bourne's NFL receptions prop has been priced 114 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD14 lines trackedNo line posted
19%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked14

Kendrick Bourne's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 14 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 19%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Kendrick Bourne average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Receptions 3.5 Over +107 ✗ MISS
25 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Receptions (Alt) 3.5 Over +106 ✗ MISS
25 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards 37.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
25 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
25 Oct 26 Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kendrick Bourne (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kendrick Bourne is Over 3.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.3% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals on Sunday 25 October at Arizona. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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