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NFL

Michael Wilson

ARI

Value call

Michael Wilson has one live pick today: over 49.5 receiving yards that pays $193 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
64.6 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 62.0% · before adjusting for past results 71.7% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap +10.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
Seattle · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 4:25 PM ET
Michael Wilson
over 49.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards (Alt) Over 49.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
Value call
HIGHWins about 62 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.30 Odds-108
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael Wilson is Over 49.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 62%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:02PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Cardinals placed Wilson (neck) on injured reserve Tuesday.
updated Nov 10, 10:53PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards (Alt)71.7%62.0%51.8%1.93+19.9%

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AI Analysis

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Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals: Michael Wilson Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Seattle Seahawks have a solid chance of keeping the game exciting at home, especially considering their ability to pressure the opposing quarterback. Michael Wilson, playing for the Arizona Cardinals, could benefit from this matchup, as he has shown he can get open and make big plays. With the Seahawks' pass rush being quite active this season, Wilson might find opportunities to rack up receiving yards, especially if the Seahawks have to send extra defenders. While the Seahawks have a strong defense, the Cardinals' quarterback has faced fewer extra rushers compared to the league average, which could give Wilson more time to shine. One risk to think about is that both teams have similar pass rush stats, so it might be a close contest. Still, the numbers suggest there's a good chance Wilson can surpass those 49.5 receiving yards.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)
Overall Hit Rate (25 picks) 80.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards191 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–79.5model over94%tips tracked191

Michael Wilson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 191 times, typically around a 24.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions114 lines trackedNo line posted
4.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–9.5model over58%tips tracked114

Michael Wilson's NFL receptions prop has been priced 114 times, typically around a 4.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
33%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3

Michael Wilson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 33%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does Michael Wilson average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5 Over -108 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards 49.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Michael Wilson (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 80.0% on tracked Michael Wilson picks. The latest model pick for Michael Wilson is Over 49.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.9% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks on Sunday 8 November at Seattle. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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