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The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael Wilson is Under 21.5 on Receiving Yards.
On the Receiving Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 69%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +17.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 1:51PM UTC
NFL

Michael Wilson

ARI

+17.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Under 21.5 -109 (1.92)
+17.3% Edge
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals
Arizona · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Wilson is a candidate for a contract extension as he enters the final year of his rookie deal, Darren Urban of azcardinals.com reports.
updated May 20, 6:13PM UTC · 62d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
69.3%
Implied Probability
52.1%
Model Edge
+17.3%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards69.3%—52.1%1.44+17.3%

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AI Analysis

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Michael Wilson (ARI) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistics strongly suggest betting under 21.5 for Michael Wilson in the 'player_reception_yds' market. Wilson's performance in recent games indicates a trend of underperformance. His overall hit rate over the last three, five, ten, and twenty games has been 0/3, 0/5, 1/10, and 5/20 respectively, showing a consistent underperformance. Even more convincing is his performance against Seattle Seahawks, with a hit rate of 0/4 over the last four games and 0/2 in home games. His current hit streak in all categories is zero, indicating a lack of momentum. Therefore, based on Wilson's recent performance and historical data against the Seahawks, the under 21.5 bet for Michael Wilson seems a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards3 lines trackedNo line posted
21.5typical line · receiving yds
line range20.5–21.5tips tracked3

Michael Wilson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 21.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Michael Wilson (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael Wilson is Under 21.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.3% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals at Arizona. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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