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The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael Wilson is Under 5.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 54%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 3, 8:22PM UTC
NFL

Michael Wilson

ARI

Value call

Michael Wilson has one live pick today: Receptions Under 5.5 that pays $168 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Receptions Under 5.5 -147 (1.68) · $100→$168
Value call
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants
New York · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: 226 of 421 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Wilson (thumb) was a full participant at the Cardinals' practice Thursday, Bo Brack of GoPHNX.com reports.
updated Oct 2, 1:07AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
54 in 100
Predicted
4.4 Receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.5% · before adjusting for past results 72.0% · the book's price implies 59.5% · gap -6.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions72.0%53.5%59.5%1.79+12.5%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

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AI Analysis

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New York Giants vs Arizona Cardinals: Michael Wilson Under 5.5 Receptions (-161)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Michael Wilson has been showing promise, but facing the New York Giants' defense might be tougher than it seems. The Giants allowed around 375 yards per game last season, but they usually tighten up against receivers. With their ability to limit big plays, it's possible Wilson could struggle to get the catches he needs. Both teams are evenly matched in terms of first downs, but the Cardinals passed for a bit more yardage last season. Still, the Giants are known for making it hard for opposing receivers to find space. This matchup is close, and Wilson could easily end up with fewer than 5.5 receptions.

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Pick History & Track Record

Michael Wilson's lines for Sun 4 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions 5.5
+120 best over price · 4 books

Michael Wilson's receptions line is 5.5, best over price +120 across 4 books.

Receptions 4.5
-154 best over price · 9 books

Michael Wilson's receptions line is 4.5, best over price -154 across 9 books.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5

Michael Wilson's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5

Michael Wilson's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5

Michael Wilson's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.

Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5

Michael Wilson's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.

Receiving Yards 57.5
-112 best over price · 5 books

Michael Wilson's receiving yards line is 57.5, best over price -112 across 5 books.

Receiving Yards 56.5
-114 best over price · 4 books

Michael Wilson's receiving yards line is 56.5, best over price -114 across 4 books.

Betting angles

2 markets live
Receiving YardsNext game · New York GiantsU 58.5 -110
58.5posted line · receiving yds

Michael Wilson has a live NFL receiving yards market for New York Giants: under 58.5 receiving yds priced at -110.

ReceptionsNext game · New York GiantsU 5.5 -161
5.5posted line · receptions

Michael Wilson has a live NFL receptions market for New York Giants: under 5.5 receptions priced at -161.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals Receptions (Alt) 1.5 Over -1250 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5 Over -1429 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals Receptions — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals Receiving Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Michael Wilson (ARI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael Wilson is Under 5.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.5% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants on Sunday 4 October at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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