Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NFL

Michael Penix Jr.

ATL

Value call

Michael Penix Jr. has one live pick today: under 19.5 completed passes that pays $200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
18.6 completed passes
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.9% · before adjusting for past results 59.8% · the book's price implies 50.0% · gap -0.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta · Indoor
Sun 25 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Michael Penix Jr.
under 19.5 completed passes
Pass Completions Under 19.5 +100 (2.00) · $100→$200
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.00 Odds+100
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael Penix Jr. is Under 19.5 on Pass Completions.
On Pass Completions, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 50%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 7:32AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Is Michael Penix Jr. playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Michael Penix Jr. is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.

UNKNOWN
Penix completed 19 of 33 passes for 225 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions while rushing once for one yard in the Falcons' 31-23 loss to the Bears on Sunday. He also threw two two-point conversion passes.
updated Oct 19, 9:26AM UTC · 5d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pass Completions59.8%49.9%50.0%2.12+9.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers: Michael Penix Jr. Under 19.5 Pass Completions (-108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The San Francisco 49ers have a tough defense that can really put pressure on quarterbacks, making it hard for them to complete passes. Michael Penix Jr. has shown some promise, but this matchup might be a challenge for him. With the 49ers focusing on stopping the pass, it could limit his completions. Betting on under 19.5 completions feels like a smart choice here. Both teams are closely matched, so it's not a guarantee, but the 49ers' defense could make it tough for Penix Jr. to reach that number. The most concrete risk is how well the 49ers can pressure him, which may lead to fewer chances to complete passes.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Michael Penix Jr.'s lines for Sun 25 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pass Completions 19.5

Michael Penix Jr.'s pass completions line is 19.5.

Rushing Yards 2.5
-102 best over price · 3 books

Michael Penix Jr.'s rushing yards line is 2.5, best over price -102 across 3 books.

Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5

Michael Penix Jr.'s passing yards (alt) line is 149.5.

Anytime TD
+1000 best over price · 13 books

Michael Penix Jr.'s anytime td line is posted, best over price +1000 across 13 books.

Passing Yards (Alt) 159.5

Michael Penix Jr.'s passing yards (alt) line is 159.5.

Rushing Yards 1.5
-125 best over price · 3 books

Michael Penix Jr.'s rushing yards line is 1.5, best over price -125 across 3 books.

Passing Touchdowns 1.5

Michael Penix Jr.'s passing touchdowns line is 1.5.

Interceptions Thrown 0.5

Michael Penix Jr.'s interceptions thrown line is 0.5.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Passing YardsNext game · San Francisco 49ersO 149.5 -1250
149.5posted line · passing yds

Michael Penix Jr. has a live NFL passing yards market for San Francisco 49ers: over 149.5 passing yds priced at -1250.

Rushing YardsNext game · San Francisco 49ersU 2.5 -125
2.5posted line · rushing yds

Michael Penix Jr. has a live NFL rushing yards market for San Francisco 49ers: under 2.5 rushing yds priced at -125.

Anytime TDNext game · San Francisco 49ersAnytime TD +1000

Michael Penix Jr. has a live NFL anytime td market for San Francisco 49ers priced at +1000.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Michael Penix Jr. average?How many rushing yards does Michael Penix Jr. average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons Pass Completions 20.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons Pass Completions 19.5 Under +100 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons Passing Touchdowns 1.5 Under +101 ✗ MISS
18 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons Rushing Yards — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Michael Penix Jr. (ATL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael Penix Jr. is Under 19.5 on Pass Completions. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.8% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons on Sunday 25 October at Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.