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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tony Pollard is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 43%, for a model edge of +6.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NFL

Tony Pollard

TEN

+6.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +130 (2.30)
+6.8% Edge
Los Angeles Rams @ Tennessee Titans
Tennessee · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
As training camp approaches, Pollard -- who started all 17 games at running back for the Titans in 2025 -- is expected to again lead a backfield that returns last season's top backup in Tyjae Spears, and which added Nicholas Singleton in the fifth round of April's NFL Draft.
updated Jun 23, 10:45PM UTC · 27d old
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Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
43.5%
Model Edge
+6.8%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—43.5%1.99+6.8%

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AI Analysis

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Tony Pollard (TEN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Tony Pollard to score a touchdown anytime during the Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Rams game might not be the most promising bet based on current statistics. Pollard's overall hit rate for scoring a touchdown is just over 32% (17 out of 53), and this rate has not improved recently, as evidenced by his 0% hit rate across his last 3 games. When playing at home, his hit rate is slightly lower at approximately 31% (8 out of 26). Versus the LA Rams, his hit rate is 50% (1 out of 2), but this data point is less reliable due to the small sample size. Notably, Pollard has not scored in his last match against the Rams at home. His recent performance and hit rate trends suggest a lower probability of scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Tony Pollard's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receiving Yards3 lines trackedNo line posted
19.5typical line · receiving yds
line range19.5–29.5model over32%tips tracked3

Tony Pollard's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 3 times, typically around a 19.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tony Pollard (TEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tony Pollard is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Tennessee Titans at Tennessee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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