Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Drake Maye is Under 225.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 67%, implied 53%, edge +13.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 6:38PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Passing Yards
Under 225.5
-112 (1.89) · $100→$189
+13.9% Edge
Seattle Seahawks
@
New England Patriots
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Maye sat out Thursday's preseason loss to Cleveland.
updated Aug 29, 12:40AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
67 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 66.9% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +13.9%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
| Passing Yards | 66.9% | — | 52.9% | 1.50 | +13.9% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime
Drake Maye (NE) Under 225.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
Markets & formPassing Yards108 lines trackedNo line posted
159.5typical line · passing yds
line range149.5–240.5model over95%tips tracked108
Drake Maye's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 108 times, typically around a 159.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD12 lines trackedNo line posted
43%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked12
Drake Maye's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 12 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 43%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Rushing Yards6 lines trackedNo line posted 21.5typical line · rushing yds
line range16.5–26.5tips tracked6
Drake Maye's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 21.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Drake Maye (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Drake Maye is Under 225.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.9% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.