Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Drake Maye is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 16 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 16%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 3:15PM UTC
NFL
Drake Maye
NE
Drake Maye has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $1,200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+1100 (12.00) · $100→$1,200
Value call
Pittsburgh Steelers
@
New England Patriots
New England · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 174 of 355 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
16 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 15.9% · the book's price implies 8.3% · gap +7.5%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 15.9% | — | 8.3% | 12.00 | +7.5% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Drake Maye (NE) Yes Player last td (+1100)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New England Patriots play Pittsburgh Steelers in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Drake Maye (NE) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +1100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $120 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Drake Maye's lines for Sun 20 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Drake Maye's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD12 lines trackedNo line posted
43%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked12
Drake Maye's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 12 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 43%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Passing Yards108 lines trackedNo line posted
159.5typical line · passing yds
line range149.5–240.5model over95%tips tracked108
Drake Maye's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 108 times, typically around a 159.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Rushing Yards6 lines trackedNo line posted 21.5typical line · rushing yds
line range16.5–26.5tips tracked6
Drake Maye's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 21.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Drake Maye (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Drake Maye is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.5% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots on Sunday 20 September at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.