Drake Maye has one live pick today: under 230.5 passing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
213.1 passing yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 62.5% · before adjusting for past results 72.8% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +9.3%.
Latest Model PickFree
Las Vegas Raiders
@
New England Patriots
Drake Maye
under 230.5 passing yards
Passing Yards
Under 230.5
-114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 62 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$18.80
Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Drake Maye is Under 230.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 62%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 9:41PM UTC
Is Drake Maye playing tomorrow? Yes, on the latest team news. Drake Maye is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Maye completed 22 of 37 passes for 269 yards with three touchdowns and one interception while adding eight rushes for 54 yards in the Patriots' 29-26 win over the Bills on Sunday. He threw a two-point conversion pass and committed three fumbles, losing one and recovering the other two.
updated Oct 4, 9:44PM UTC · 5d old
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| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Passing Yards | 72.8% | 62.5% | 53.2% | 1.99 | +19.6% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Drake Maye (NE) Under 230.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New England Patriots play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Drake Maye (NE) Under 230.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Drake Maye's lines for Sun 11 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Passing Yards 230.5
-115 best over price · 1 book
Drake Maye's passing yards line is 230.5, best over price -115 across 1 book.
Passing Yards 227.5
-114 best over price · 6 books
Drake Maye's passing yards line is 227.5, best over price -114 across 6 books.
Passing Yards 226.5
-114 best over price · 1 book
Drake Maye's passing yards line is 226.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.
Passing Yards 224.5
-125 best over price · 1 book
Drake Maye's passing yards line is 224.5, best over price -125 across 1 book.
Passing Yards (Alt) 169.5
Drake Maye's passing yards (alt) line is 169.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 159.5
Drake Maye's passing yards (alt) line is 159.5.
Interceptions Thrown 0.5
Drake Maye's interceptions thrown line is 0.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 174.5
Drake Maye's passing yards (alt) line is 174.5.
Betting angles
2 markets livePassing YardsNext game · Las Vegas RaidersU 227.5 -111
227.5posted line · passing yds
Drake Maye has a live NFL passing yards market for Las Vegas Raiders: under 227.5 passing yds priced at -111.
Rushing YardsNext game · Las Vegas RaidersU 32.5 -114 32.5posted line · rushing yds
Drake Maye has a live NFL rushing yards market for Las Vegas Raiders: under 32.5 rushing yds priced at -114.
Anytime TD12 lines trackedNo line posted
43%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked12
Drake Maye's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 12 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 43%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Drake Maye (NE) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Drake Maye is Under 230.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.6% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots on Sunday 11 October at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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