Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brenton Strange is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 16 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 16%, the price says 7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 5:58AM UTC
NFL
Brenton Strange
JAX
Brenton Strange has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $1,400 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+1300 (14.00) · $100→$1,400
Value call
Cleveland Browns
@
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 349 of 542 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Strange caught two of three targets for 23 yards and a touchdown Sunday in a 34-10 victory versus Cleveland.
updated Sep 14, 2:36AM UTC · 7d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
16 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 15.6% · before adjusting for past results 15.6% · the book's price implies 7.1% · gap +8.4%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 15.6% | 15.6% | 7.1% | 14.00 | +8.4% |
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Brenton Strange (JAX) Yes Player last td (+1300)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Jacksonville Jaguars play Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Brenton Strange (JAX) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +1300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $140 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD6 lines trackedNo line posted
49%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked6
Brenton Strange's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 6 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 49%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receiving Yards72 lines trackedNo line posted 36.5typical line · receiving yds
line range9.5–79.5tips tracked72
Brenton Strange's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 72 times, typically around a 36.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions22 lines trackedNo line posted 3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–6.5tips tracked22
Brenton Strange's NFL receptions prop has been priced 22 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Receptions |
3.5 |
Under |
-130 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Receiving Yards |
36.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Receiving Yards |
35.5 |
Under |
-114 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Brenton Strange (JAX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brenton Strange is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.4% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday 13 September at Jacksonville. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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