Here are our NFL picks for Wednesday 23 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New Orleans Saints play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Over. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Chicago Bears play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Tuesday 29 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chicago Bears +3.5 Point Spread. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Indianapolis Colts play Houston Texans in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Over. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles: Chicago Bears +3.5 Point Spread (-122)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Chicago Bears play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Tuesday 29 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chicago Bears +3.5 Point Spread. It was priced at -122 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Miami Dolphins play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Miami Dolphins. It was priced at +106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs: Miami Dolphins (+100)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Miami Dolphins play Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Miami Dolphins. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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